MetService's latest Saturday morning forecast pins Wellington's May 4 high at 15°C under fine conditions and northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15°C and 16°C at 21% implied probabilities each, amid a tight cluster from 14–17°C. This reflects a stabilizing high-pressure ridge following recent thunderstorms and gales, with May 1 observations reaching 15.7°C at Kelburn under similar clear skies. Differentiating factors include northerly air advection potentially boosting diurnal heating to 16–17°C if winds strengthen, versus partial cloudiness capping at 14°C; seasonal averages hover near 15°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread. Next updates from MetService evening runs and NIWA monitoring could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
16°C 32%
17°C 24%
15°C 18%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
32%
17°C
24%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 32%
17°C 24%
15°C 18%
18°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
10°C or below
$21 Vol.
1%
11°C
$20 Vol.
1%
12°C
$20 Vol.
1%
13°C
$10 Vol.
4%
14°C
$5 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$1 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$5 Vol.
6%
19°C
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest Saturday morning forecast pins Wellington's May 4 high at 15°C under fine conditions and northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15°C and 16°C at 21% implied probabilities each, amid a tight cluster from 14–17°C. This reflects a stabilizing high-pressure ridge following recent thunderstorms and gales, with May 1 observations reaching 15.7°C at Kelburn under similar clear skies. Differentiating factors include northerly air advection potentially boosting diurnal heating to 16–17°C if winds strengthen, versus partial cloudiness capping at 14°C; seasonal averages hover near 15°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread. Next updates from MetService evening runs and NIWA monitoring could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$104Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest Saturday morning forecast pins Wellington's May 4 high at 15°C under fine conditions and northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15°C and 16°C at 21% implied probabilities each, amid a tight cluster from 14–17°C. This reflects a stabilizing high-pressure ridge following recent thunderstorms and gales, with May 1 observations reaching 15.7°C at Kelburn under similar clear skies. Differentiating factors include northerly air advection potentially boosting diurnal heating to 16–17°C if winds strengthen, versus partial cloudiness capping at 14°C; seasonal averages hover near 15°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread. Next updates from MetService evening runs and NIWA monitoring could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$104Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest Saturday morning forecast pins Wellington's May 4 high at 15°C under fine conditions and northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15°C and 16°C at 21% implied probabilities each, amid a tight cluster from 14–17°C. This reflects a stabilizing high-pressure ridge following recent thunderstorms and gales, with May 1 observations reaching 15.7°C at Kelburn under similar clear skies. Differentiating factors include northerly air advection potentially boosting diurnal heating to 16–17°C if winds strengthen, versus partial cloudiness capping at 14°C; seasonal averages hover near 15°C, with model ensembles showing modest spread. Next updates from MetService evening runs and NIWA monitoring could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes