MetService's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 16°C in Wellington on May 2 under fine conditions with light northerlies easing evening, aligning with early-May climatological averages around 15°C and driving trader consensus toward 16°C (35% implied probability) and 17°C (39%). The close split reflects short-range uncertainty in northerly wind strength—stronger flows could enhance warm air advection from the north, pushing peaks toward 17-18°C, while developing sea breezes or minor cloud may cap heating at 16°C after overnight lows near 9°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread, with new MetService updates and hourly guidance expected May 1 to refine diurnal temperature trajectories before resolution at Wellington Aero station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
17°C 41%
16°C 35%
18°C 18%
15°C 7%
NUEVO
$13,352 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,352 Vol.
2 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
35%
17°C
41%
18°C
18%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 41%
16°C 35%
18°C 18%
15°C 7%
NUEVO
$13,352 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,352 Vol.
2 may 2026
10°C or below
$824 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,346 Vol.
1%
14°C
$942 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,089 Vol.
7%
16°C
$1,539 Vol.
35%
17°C
$1,156 Vol.
41%
18°C
$1,076 Vol.
18%
19°C
$1,875 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,496 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 16°C in Wellington on May 2 under fine conditions with light northerlies easing evening, aligning with early-May climatological averages around 15°C and driving trader consensus toward 16°C (35% implied probability) and 17°C (39%). The close split reflects short-range uncertainty in northerly wind strength—stronger flows could enhance warm air advection from the north, pushing peaks toward 17-18°C, while developing sea breezes or minor cloud may cap heating at 16°C after overnight lows near 9°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread, with new MetService updates and hourly guidance expected May 1 to refine diurnal temperature trajectories before resolution at Wellington Aero station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$13,352Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 16°C in Wellington on May 2 under fine conditions with light northerlies easing evening, aligning with early-May climatological averages around 15°C and driving trader consensus toward 16°C (35% implied probability) and 17°C (39%). The close split reflects short-range uncertainty in northerly wind strength—stronger flows could enhance warm air advection from the north, pushing peaks toward 17-18°C, while developing sea breezes or minor cloud may cap heating at 16°C after overnight lows near 9°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread, with new MetService updates and hourly guidance expected May 1 to refine diurnal temperature trajectories before resolution at Wellington Aero station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,352Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 16°C in Wellington on May 2 under fine conditions with light northerlies easing evening, aligning with early-May climatological averages around 15°C and driving trader consensus toward 16°C (35% implied probability) and 17°C (39%). The close split reflects short-range uncertainty in northerly wind strength—stronger flows could enhance warm air advection from the north, pushing peaks toward 17-18°C, while developing sea breezes or minor cloud may cap heating at 16°C after overnight lows near 9°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread, with new MetService updates and hourly guidance expected May 1 to refine diurnal temperature trajectories before resolution at Wellington Aero station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes