Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 4 clustering around 27-29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 36% implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C amid a rebound from May 1's observed 20°C cool spell under cloudy conditions. This bunching reflects uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating within the Sichuan Basin's hazy, light-wind environment—persistent high pressure and urban heat island effects favor 28-30°C peaks, while potential afternoon cumulus clouds could suppress to 26-27°C. Early-May climatology averages 26°C highs, with resolution based on official Chengdu Shuangliu Airport observations; watch tomorrow's updated model ensembles for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 4?
28°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$251 Vol.
1%
25°C
$407 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 4 clustering around 27-29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 36% implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C amid a rebound from May 1's observed 20°C cool spell under cloudy conditions. This bunching reflects uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating within the Sichuan Basin's hazy, light-wind environment—persistent high pressure and urban heat island effects favor 28-30°C peaks, while potential afternoon cumulus clouds could suppress to 26-27°C. Early-May climatology averages 26°C highs, with resolution based on official Chengdu Shuangliu Airport observations; watch tomorrow's updated model ensembles for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$623Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 4 clustering around 27-29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 36% implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C amid a rebound from May 1's observed 20°C cool spell under cloudy conditions. This bunching reflects uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating within the Sichuan Basin's hazy, light-wind environment—persistent high pressure and urban heat island effects favor 28-30°C peaks, while potential afternoon cumulus clouds could suppress to 26-27°C. Early-May climatology averages 26°C highs, with resolution based on official Chengdu Shuangliu Airport observations; watch tomorrow's updated model ensembles for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$623Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models like ECMWF and GFS project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 4 clustering around 27-29°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 36% implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C amid a rebound from May 1's observed 20°C cool spell under cloudy conditions. This bunching reflects uncertainty in diurnal boundary layer heating within the Sichuan Basin's hazy, light-wind environment—persistent high pressure and urban heat island effects favor 28-30°C peaks, while potential afternoon cumulus clouds could suppress to 26-27°C. Early-May climatology averages 26°C highs, with resolution based on official Chengdu Shuangliu Airport observations; watch tomorrow's updated model ensembles for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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