Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 22°C high temperature at London City Airport on May 2 at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (24.0%), driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a maximum of 22°C amid variable cloud, sunny spells, and increasing shower risk—rising to 50% in the afternoon with potential thundery rain later. This follows today's 25°C peak under a weakening high-pressure ridge, transitioning to more unsettled conditions with light southwest winds (gusts to 17 mph) limiting peak heating. ECMWF and GFS models show some divergence on afternoon cloud cover, introducing uncertainty that traders are pricing in; fresh UKMO and NOAA ensemble updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution based on finalized Wunderground data from the station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 2?
Highest temperature in London on May 2?
22°C 38%
21°C 27%
23°C 24.3%
24°C 9.1%
NUEVO
$58,804 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,804 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
27%
22°C
38%
23°C
24%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 27%
23°C 24.3%
24°C 9.1%
NUEVO
$58,804 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,804 Vol.
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$7,800 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,555 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,530 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,355 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5,112 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5,317 Vol.
3%
21°C
$3,607 Vol.
27%
22°C
$5,053 Vol.
38%
23°C
$4,739 Vol.
24%
24°C
$6,157 Vol.
9%
25°C or higher
$3,707 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 22°C high temperature at London City Airport on May 2 at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (24.0%), driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a maximum of 22°C amid variable cloud, sunny spells, and increasing shower risk—rising to 50% in the afternoon with potential thundery rain later. This follows today's 25°C peak under a weakening high-pressure ridge, transitioning to more unsettled conditions with light southwest winds (gusts to 17 mph) limiting peak heating. ECMWF and GFS models show some divergence on afternoon cloud cover, introducing uncertainty that traders are pricing in; fresh UKMO and NOAA ensemble updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution based on finalized Wunderground data from the station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$58,804Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 22°C high temperature at London City Airport on May 2 at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (24.0%), driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a maximum of 22°C amid variable cloud, sunny spells, and increasing shower risk—rising to 50% in the afternoon with potential thundery rain later. This follows today's 25°C peak under a weakening high-pressure ridge, transitioning to more unsettled conditions with light southwest winds (gusts to 17 mph) limiting peak heating. ECMWF and GFS models show some divergence on afternoon cloud cover, introducing uncertainty that traders are pricing in; fresh UKMO and NOAA ensemble updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution based on finalized Wunderground data from the station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$58,804Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 22°C high temperature at London City Airport on May 2 at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 21°C (26.5%) and 23°C (24.0%), driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a maximum of 22°C amid variable cloud, sunny spells, and increasing shower risk—rising to 50% in the afternoon with potential thundery rain later. This follows today's 25°C peak under a weakening high-pressure ridge, transitioning to more unsettled conditions with light southwest winds (gusts to 17 mph) limiting peak heating. ECMWF and GFS models show some divergence on afternoon cloud cover, introducing uncertainty that traders are pricing in; fresh UKMO and NOAA ensemble updates expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution based on finalized Wunderground data from the station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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