Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chongqing's May 6 high near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driving trader consensus to 60.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher as the leading outcome. This positioning reflects an accelerating warming trend, with May 4 reaching 28°C and May 5 hitting 30.6°C amid southerly winds advecting warm, moist air into the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography and reduced cloud cover boosting solar heating. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 28–30°C, above the 27.9°C May historical average high, though incoming showers introduce uncertainty that bolsters 25.5% odds on exactly 28°C. Final resolution hinges on official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, with intraday updates from CMA potentially shifting sentiment before close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
29°C or higher 56%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
26°C 2.6%
$17,026 Vol.
$17,026 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C or higher
56%
29°C or higher 56%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
26°C 2.6%
$17,026 Vol.
$17,026 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chongqing's May 6 high near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, driving trader consensus to 60.5% implied probability for 29°C or higher as the leading outcome. This positioning reflects an accelerating warming trend, with May 4 reaching 28°C and May 5 hitting 30.6°C amid southerly winds advecting warm, moist air into the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography and reduced cloud cover boosting solar heating. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show tight clustering around 28–30°C, above the 27.9°C May historical average high, though incoming showers introduce uncertainty that bolsters 25.5% odds on exactly 28°C. Final resolution hinges on official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, with intraday updates from CMA potentially shifting sentiment before close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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