The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature of around 52°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies following morning areas of frost, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus and driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 48°F or higher. This positioning reflects a seasonal normal high of 66°F tempered by an unseasonably cool early May pattern from recent cold air intrusions, yet still comfortably above the threshold amid a broader warmer-than-average spring outlook from NOAA. Realistic challenges include a sudden northerly wind shift enhancing Lake Michigan cooling effects or unexpected low-level clouds stalling diurnal heating, with new model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 4?
48°F or higher 99.4%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,675 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,675 Vol.
4 may 2026
29°F or below
<1%
30-31°F
<1%
32-33°F
1%
34-35°F
1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48°F or higher
99%
48°F or higher 99.4%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
NUEVO
$15,675 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,675 Vol.
4 may 2026
29°F or below
$925 Vol.
<1%
30-31°F
$668 Vol.
<1%
32-33°F
$668 Vol.
1%
34-35°F
$655 Vol.
1%
36-37°F
$658 Vol.
1%
38-39°F
$642 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$653 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$645 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$669 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$876 Vol.
<1%
48°F or higher
$8,616 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature of around 52°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies following morning areas of frost, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus and driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 48°F or higher. This positioning reflects a seasonal normal high of 66°F tempered by an unseasonably cool early May pattern from recent cold air intrusions, yet still comfortably above the threshold amid a broader warmer-than-average spring outlook from NOAA. Realistic challenges include a sudden northerly wind shift enhancing Lake Michigan cooling effects or unexpected low-level clouds stalling diurnal heating, with new model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$15,675Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature of around 52°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies following morning areas of frost, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus and driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 48°F or higher. This positioning reflects a seasonal normal high of 66°F tempered by an unseasonably cool early May pattern from recent cold air intrusions, yet still comfortably above the threshold amid a broader warmer-than-average spring outlook from NOAA. Realistic challenges include a sudden northerly wind shift enhancing Lake Michigan cooling effects or unexpected low-level clouds stalling diurnal heating, with new model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,675Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high temperature of around 52°F on May 4 under mostly sunny skies following morning areas of frost, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus and driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 48°F or higher. This positioning reflects a seasonal normal high of 66°F tempered by an unseasonably cool early May pattern from recent cold air intrusions, yet still comfortably above the threshold amid a broader warmer-than-average spring outlook from NOAA. Realistic challenges include a sudden northerly wind shift enhancing Lake Michigan cooling effects or unexpected low-level clouds stalling diurnal heating, with new model runs and NWS updates expected daily through Sunday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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