Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 52°F or higher (97.7%) for Chicago's highest temperature on May 3, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, consistent with May 3 climatological normals of 66°F despite a persistent cool upper-air pattern noted in the May 1 NWS Chicago forecast discussion. This positioning reflects NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook for warmer-than-average conditions in the Midwest, with recent model runs showing ridging aloft allowing sufficient insolation after current patchy frost risks dissipate. Realistic challenges include a stalled low-level front boosting shower probabilities and low clouds, potentially suppressing peaks below 52°F; watch NWS updates on May 2 for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
52°F or higher 99.0%
50-51°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
33°F or below
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
99%
52°F or higher 99.0%
50-51°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
33°F or below
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$804 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$814 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$674 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$839 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$814 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,537 Vol.
1%
52°F or higher
$6,280 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 52°F or higher (97.7%) for Chicago's highest temperature on May 3, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, consistent with May 3 climatological normals of 66°F despite a persistent cool upper-air pattern noted in the May 1 NWS Chicago forecast discussion. This positioning reflects NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook for warmer-than-average conditions in the Midwest, with recent model runs showing ridging aloft allowing sufficient insolation after current patchy frost risks dissipate. Realistic challenges include a stalled low-level front boosting shower probabilities and low clouds, potentially suppressing peaks below 52°F; watch NWS updates on May 2 for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$8,519Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 52°F or higher (97.7%) for Chicago's highest temperature on May 3, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, consistent with May 3 climatological normals of 66°F despite a persistent cool upper-air pattern noted in the May 1 NWS Chicago forecast discussion. This positioning reflects NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook for warmer-than-average conditions in the Midwest, with recent model runs showing ridging aloft allowing sufficient insolation after current patchy frost risks dissipate. Realistic challenges include a stalled low-level front boosting shower probabilities and low clouds, potentially suppressing peaks below 52°F; watch NWS updates on May 2 for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,519Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 52°F or higher (97.7%) for Chicago's highest temperature on May 3, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, consistent with May 3 climatological normals of 66°F despite a persistent cool upper-air pattern noted in the May 1 NWS Chicago forecast discussion. This positioning reflects NOAA's March 2026 spring outlook for warmer-than-average conditions in the Midwest, with recent model runs showing ridging aloft allowing sufficient insolation after current patchy frost risks dissipate. Realistic challenges include a stalled low-level front boosting shower probabilities and low clouds, potentially suppressing peaks below 52°F; watch NWS updates on May 2 for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official O'Hare observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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