Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 54°F or higher in Chicago on May 2 at 55% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing mostly sunny skies and highs near 51-55°F following patchy morning frost from a lingering cool upper trough over the Great Lakes. Recent observations confirm chilly conditions, with overnight lows dipping into the upper 30s amid light winds and radiational cooling, while yesterday's highs struggled in the mid-40s under cloudy skies from a departing front. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports modest warming via high pressure ridging, though uncertainty persists in exact cloud cover and lake breeze effects that could cap peaks at 52-53°F (27%). NWS updates expected later today may refine this ahead of resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 2?
54°F or higher 55%
52-53°F 28%
50-51°F 16%
48-49°F 3.3%
NUEVO
$33,056 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,056 Vol.
2 may 2026
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
28%
54°F or higher
55%
54°F or higher 55%
52-53°F 28%
50-51°F 16%
48-49°F 3.3%
NUEVO
$33,056 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,056 Vol.
2 may 2026
35°F or below
$16,462 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$884 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$865 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$1,974 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$1,681 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,965 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$2,261 Vol.
3%
50-51°F
$1,155 Vol.
16%
52-53°F
$997 Vol.
28%
54°F or higher
$2,666 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 54°F or higher in Chicago on May 2 at 55% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing mostly sunny skies and highs near 51-55°F following patchy morning frost from a lingering cool upper trough over the Great Lakes. Recent observations confirm chilly conditions, with overnight lows dipping into the upper 30s amid light winds and radiational cooling, while yesterday's highs struggled in the mid-40s under cloudy skies from a departing front. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports modest warming via high pressure ridging, though uncertainty persists in exact cloud cover and lake breeze effects that could cap peaks at 52-53°F (27%). NWS updates expected later today may refine this ahead of resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$33,056Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 54°F or higher in Chicago on May 2 at 55% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing mostly sunny skies and highs near 51-55°F following patchy morning frost from a lingering cool upper trough over the Great Lakes. Recent observations confirm chilly conditions, with overnight lows dipping into the upper 30s amid light winds and radiational cooling, while yesterday's highs struggled in the mid-40s under cloudy skies from a departing front. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports modest warming via high pressure ridging, though uncertainty persists in exact cloud cover and lake breeze effects that could cap peaks at 52-53°F (27%). NWS updates expected later today may refine this ahead of resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,056Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 54°F or higher in Chicago on May 2 at 55% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing mostly sunny skies and highs near 51-55°F following patchy morning frost from a lingering cool upper trough over the Great Lakes. Recent observations confirm chilly conditions, with overnight lows dipping into the upper 30s amid light winds and radiational cooling, while yesterday's highs struggled in the mid-40s under cloudy skies from a departing front. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs supports modest warming via high pressure ridging, though uncertainty persists in exact cloud cover and lake breeze effects that could cap peaks at 52-53°F (27%). NWS updates expected later today may refine this ahead of resolution based on official O'Hare observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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