National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature near 85°F on May 5 under mostly sunny skies with light south winds at 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for 68°F or higher. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the mid-50s°F at dawn, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs that indicate ample solar heating and minimal cloud interference amid a warming trend following recent cooler spells. Historical May highs average 84°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of marine stratus or a stalled frontal boundary delaying heating, though low-level ridging overhead makes this unlikely; intraday updates from NWS will refine as observations accrue toward evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 5?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$44,962 Vol.
$44,962 Vol.
5 may 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$44,962 Vol.
$44,962 Vol.
5 may 2026
49°F or below
$2,217 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,376 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,052 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$7,211 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$652 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,760 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,704 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$8,451 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$17,236 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature near 85°F on May 5 under mostly sunny skies with light south winds at 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for 68°F or higher. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the mid-50s°F at dawn, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs that indicate ample solar heating and minimal cloud interference amid a warming trend following recent cooler spells. Historical May highs average 84°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of marine stratus or a stalled frontal boundary delaying heating, though low-level ridging overhead makes this unlikely; intraday updates from NWS will refine as observations accrue toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$44,962Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature near 85°F on May 5 under mostly sunny skies with light south winds at 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for 68°F or higher. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the mid-50s°F at dawn, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs that indicate ample solar heating and minimal cloud interference amid a warming trend following recent cooler spells. Historical May highs average 84°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of marine stratus or a stalled frontal boundary delaying heating, though low-level ridging overhead makes this unlikely; intraday updates from NWS will refine as observations accrue toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,962Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport project a high temperature near 85°F on May 5 under mostly sunny skies with light south winds at 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for 68°F or higher. Morning observations show temperatures climbing from the mid-50s°F at dawn, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs that indicate ample solar heating and minimal cloud interference amid a warming trend following recent cooler spells. Historical May highs average 84°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of marine stratus or a stalled frontal boundary delaying heating, though low-level ridging overhead makes this unlikely; intraday updates from NWS will refine as observations accrue toward evening resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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