Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 85°F in Austin on May 6 under partly cloudy skies and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting higher, as southerly flow from the Gulf rebounds temperatures to seasonal norms following a cold front that crashed highs to record lows around May 1. Trader consensus clusters probabilities around 84-89°F (84-85°F at 27.5%, 86-87°F at 31.5%, 88-89°F at 25%), capturing model agreement on mid-to-upper 80s peaks amid modest uncertainty from variable afternoon cloudiness ahead of Thursday's next front. Early-May climatological averages hover at 83-85°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport; fuller sunshine and stronger boundary-layer mixing favor 88-89°F, while thicker clouds cap at 84-85°F. Evening forecast updates from NOAA models may sharpen differentiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 6?
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 19%
81°F or below 17.4%
88-89°F 17%
$17,247 Vol.
$17,247 Vol.
81°F or below
17%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 19%
81°F or below 17.4%
88-89°F 17%
$17,247 Vol.
$17,247 Vol.
81°F or below
17%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 85°F in Austin on May 6 under partly cloudy skies and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting higher, as southerly flow from the Gulf rebounds temperatures to seasonal norms following a cold front that crashed highs to record lows around May 1. Trader consensus clusters probabilities around 84-89°F (84-85°F at 27.5%, 86-87°F at 31.5%, 88-89°F at 25%), capturing model agreement on mid-to-upper 80s peaks amid modest uncertainty from variable afternoon cloudiness ahead of Thursday's next front. Early-May climatological averages hover at 83-85°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport; fuller sunshine and stronger boundary-layer mixing favor 88-89°F, while thicker clouds cap at 84-85°F. Evening forecast updates from NOAA models may sharpen differentiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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