Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) indicate a high of 14°C in Ankara on May 6, while Weather Underground's GFS-based outlook points to around 15-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring these outcomes at over 90% combined implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent Arctic cold air intrusion over the past 48 hours, driven by an omega blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere that has funneled northerly winds southward, causing temperatures 10-14°C below May climatological norms of 20-22°C. Recent observations confirm the chill, with snow in Ankara's highlands and May 5 highs near 13°C; model ensembles show low dispersion, though minor ridging could nudge highs toward 16°C. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
14°C 44%
15°C 40%
13°C 11.0%
16°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
44%
15°C
40%
16°C
7%
17°C or higher
3%
14°C 44%
15°C 40%
13°C 11.0%
16°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
7°C or below
$548 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$475 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$354 Vol.
1%
12°C
$281 Vol.
2%
13°C
$950 Vol.
11%
14°C
$506 Vol.
44%
15°C
$877 Vol.
40%
16°C
$853 Vol.
7%
17°C or higher
$1,338 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) indicate a high of 14°C in Ankara on May 6, while Weather Underground's GFS-based outlook points to around 15-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring these outcomes at over 90% combined implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent Arctic cold air intrusion over the past 48 hours, driven by an omega blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere that has funneled northerly winds southward, causing temperatures 10-14°C below May climatological norms of 20-22°C. Recent observations confirm the chill, with snow in Ankara's highlands and May 5 highs near 13°C; model ensembles show low dispersion, though minor ridging could nudge highs toward 16°C. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Volumen
$6,768Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) indicate a high of 14°C in Ankara on May 6, while Weather Underground's GFS-based outlook points to around 15-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring these outcomes at over 90% combined implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent Arctic cold air intrusion over the past 48 hours, driven by an omega blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere that has funneled northerly winds southward, causing temperatures 10-14°C below May climatological norms of 20-22°C. Recent observations confirm the chill, with snow in Ankara's highlands and May 5 highs near 13°C; model ensembles show low dispersion, though minor ridging could nudge highs toward 16°C. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,768Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) indicate a high of 14°C in Ankara on May 6, while Weather Underground's GFS-based outlook points to around 15-16°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring these outcomes at over 90% combined implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent Arctic cold air intrusion over the past 48 hours, driven by an omega blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere that has funneled northerly winds southward, causing temperatures 10-14°C below May climatological norms of 20-22°C. Recent observations confirm the chill, with snow in Ankara's highlands and May 5 highs near 13°C; model ensembles show low dispersion, though minor ridging could nudge highs toward 16°C. New MGM and ECMWF updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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