Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a 14°C high in Amsterdam on May 6 at 31% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 13°C at 29.5%, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus from ECMWF and national services like KNMI and the UK Met Office centering around 13-14°C amid a cool northerly airflow. Thick cloud cover and moderate 20-25 km/h northeast winds, as per the latest Met Office guidance, are suppressing daytime heating by limiting solar insolation, while historical May 6 averages hover near 15°C—current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 14°C odds or persistent overcast capping at 13°C; watch KNMI hourly updates and new ECMWF runs by May 5 for refinements as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 6?
15°C 33%
16°C 27.2%
14°C 24%
13°C 4%
NUEVO
$11,782 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,782 Vol.
6 may 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
24%
15°C
33%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
4%
15°C 33%
16°C 27.2%
14°C 24%
13°C 4%
NUEVO
$11,782 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,782 Vol.
6 may 2026
7°C or below
$265 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,863 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$809 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,440 Vol.
4%
14°C
$1,165 Vol.
24%
15°C
$958 Vol.
33%
16°C
$2,282 Vol.
27%
17°C or higher
$1,816 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a 14°C high in Amsterdam on May 6 at 31% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 13°C at 29.5%, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus from ECMWF and national services like KNMI and the UK Met Office centering around 13-14°C amid a cool northerly airflow. Thick cloud cover and moderate 20-25 km/h northeast winds, as per the latest Met Office guidance, are suppressing daytime heating by limiting solar insolation, while historical May 6 averages hover near 15°C—current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 14°C odds or persistent overcast capping at 13°C; watch KNMI hourly updates and new ECMWF runs by May 5 for refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volumen
$11,782Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a 14°C high in Amsterdam on May 6 at 31% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 13°C at 29.5%, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus from ECMWF and national services like KNMI and the UK Met Office centering around 13-14°C amid a cool northerly airflow. Thick cloud cover and moderate 20-25 km/h northeast winds, as per the latest Met Office guidance, are suppressing daytime heating by limiting solar insolation, while historical May 6 averages hover near 15°C—current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 14°C odds or persistent overcast capping at 13°C; watch KNMI hourly updates and new ECMWF runs by May 5 for refinements as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,782Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors a 14°C high in Amsterdam on May 6 at 31% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 13°C at 29.5%, reflecting short-range forecast model consensus from ECMWF and national services like KNMI and the UK Met Office centering around 13-14°C amid a cool northerly airflow. Thick cloud cover and moderate 20-25 km/h northeast winds, as per the latest Met Office guidance, are suppressing daytime heating by limiting solar insolation, while historical May 6 averages hover near 15°C—current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 14°C odds or persistent overcast capping at 13°C; watch KNMI hourly updates and new ECMWF runs by May 5 for refinements as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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