Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (46.5%) over 15°C (38.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature today, reflecting KNMI's latest forecast clustering maxima between 13°C and 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers that limit solar insolation. Cool northerly winds and a subdued upper-air pattern lacking high-pressure ridging keep conditions below seasonal norms, with early-May climatological averages near 15°C; model ensembles like ECMWF show peak potential in early afternoon if clouds thin slightly, but shower timing could cap peaks 1-2°C lower. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover evolution, with hourly KNMI observations at Schiphol determining final resolution by midnight. Watch 2-5 p.m. updates for decisive shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 5?
16°C 61%
15°C 34%
17°C 6.2%
14°C 2.4%
$26,502 Vol.
$26,502 Vol.
5 may 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
34%
16°C
61%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 34%
17°C 6.2%
14°C 2.4%
$26,502 Vol.
$26,502 Vol.
5 may 2026
12°C
$1,995 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,485 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5,962 Vol.
2%
15°C
$2,403 Vol.
34%
16°C
$2,518 Vol.
61%
17°C
$3,717 Vol.
6%
18°C
$3,831 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,484 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,783 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (46.5%) over 15°C (38.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature today, reflecting KNMI's latest forecast clustering maxima between 13°C and 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers that limit solar insolation. Cool northerly winds and a subdued upper-air pattern lacking high-pressure ridging keep conditions below seasonal norms, with early-May climatological averages near 15°C; model ensembles like ECMWF show peak potential in early afternoon if clouds thin slightly, but shower timing could cap peaks 1-2°C lower. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover evolution, with hourly KNMI observations at Schiphol determining final resolution by midnight. Watch 2-5 p.m. updates for decisive shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$26,502Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (46.5%) over 15°C (38.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature today, reflecting KNMI's latest forecast clustering maxima between 13°C and 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers that limit solar insolation. Cool northerly winds and a subdued upper-air pattern lacking high-pressure ridging keep conditions below seasonal norms, with early-May climatological averages near 15°C; model ensembles like ECMWF show peak potential in early afternoon if clouds thin slightly, but shower timing could cap peaks 1-2°C lower. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover evolution, with hourly KNMI observations at Schiphol determining final resolution by midnight. Watch 2-5 p.m. updates for decisive shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,502Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (46.5%) over 15°C (38.0%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature today, reflecting KNMI's latest forecast clustering maxima between 13°C and 16°C amid persistent overcast skies and scattered showers that limit solar insolation. Cool northerly winds and a subdued upper-air pattern lacking high-pressure ridging keep conditions below seasonal norms, with early-May climatological averages near 15°C; model ensembles like ECMWF show peak potential in early afternoon if clouds thin slightly, but shower timing could cap peaks 1-2°C lower. Uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover evolution, with hourly KNMI observations at Schiphol determining final resolution by midnight. Watch 2-5 p.m. updates for decisive shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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