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Castro predictions & odds

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US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

72%

$117K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

14

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

44%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$29M Vol.

$98.4K today

$2M Liq.

437

Ends in about 1 month

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

85%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$6M Vol.

$54.5K today

$1M Liq.

39

Ends in 14 days

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

83%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$12.7K Vol.

$91.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

73%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$91.0K Vol.

$218K Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

Serie A - Top Goalscorer

Serie A - Top Goalscorer

99%

Lautaro Martinez

$101K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 days

Anime Awards: Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) Winner

Anime Awards: Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) Winner

37%

Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)

$20.0K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

99%

Nikema Williams

$9.2K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

38%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$15.0K Vol.

$77.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

The American Rodeo Championship: Bull Riding Winner

The American Rodeo Championship: Bull Riding Winner

50%

Kase Hitt

$1.3K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

26%

December 31

$195K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group B

Game Hunters

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Brute vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-In

Counter-Strike: Brute vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-In

100%

Brute

$65.1K Vol.

$65.1K today

$186K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

BOJONG

$601 Vol.

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

ENCE

$5.9K Vol.

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

cirahvi

$2.4K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends in 41 minutes

Counter-Strike: TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES

$293 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2

99%

XLG Gaming

$5.2K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

XI Esport

$140K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

ENCE

$24.6K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Castro.

Polymarket currently hosts 120 active markets for Castro that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Colombia Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Colombia Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to Abelardo de la Espriella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Castro predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.