Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over Tehran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights as a core principle, despite recent indirect talks mediated by Oman and reports of a potential ceasefire memorandum addressing the Strait of Hormuz and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have repeatedly framed full cessation of enrichment as a red line, while U.S. positions emphasize limits or relocation of activities under IAEA oversight. Strikes on Iranian facilities in 2025 damaged key sites but have not altered Tehran's negotiating stance ahead of the June 30 deadline. Any emerging accord appears structured for phased technical discussions over 60 days rather than immediate commitments, leaving little room for a binding agreement to end enrichment within the narrow window. Trader positioning reflects these entrenched diplomatic gaps and the absence of recent breakthroughs sufficient to shift the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$2,753,672 Vol.
$2,753,672 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$2,753,672 Vol.
$2,753,672 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over Tehran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights as a core principle, despite recent indirect talks mediated by Oman and reports of a potential ceasefire memorandum addressing the Strait of Hormuz and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have repeatedly framed full cessation of enrichment as a red line, while U.S. positions emphasize limits or relocation of activities under IAEA oversight. Strikes on Iranian facilities in 2025 damaged key sites but have not altered Tehran's negotiating stance ahead of the June 30 deadline. Any emerging accord appears structured for phased technical discussions over 60 days rather than immediate commitments, leaving little room for a binding agreement to end enrichment within the narrow window. Trader positioning reflects these entrenched diplomatic gaps and the absence of recent breakthroughs sufficient to shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$2,753,672End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over Tehran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights as a core principle, despite recent indirect talks mediated by Oman and reports of a potential ceasefire memorandum addressing the Strait of Hormuz and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have repeatedly framed full cessation of enrichment as a red line, while U.S. positions emphasize limits or relocation of activities under IAEA oversight. Strikes on Iranian facilities in 2025 damaged key sites but have not altered Tehran's negotiating stance ahead of the June 30 deadline. Any emerging accord appears structured for phased technical discussions over 60 days rather than immediate commitments, leaving little room for a binding agreement to end enrichment within the narrow window. Trader positioning reflects these entrenched diplomatic gaps and the absence of recent breakthroughs sufficient to shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,758,725End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over Tehran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights as a core principle, despite recent indirect talks mediated by Oman and reports of a potential ceasefire memorandum addressing the Strait of Hormuz and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have repeatedly framed full cessation of enrichment as a red line, while U.S. positions emphasize limits or relocation of activities under IAEA oversight. Strikes on Iranian facilities in 2025 damaged key sites but have not altered Tehran's negotiating stance ahead of the June 30 deadline. Any emerging accord appears structured for phased technical discussions over 60 days rather than immediate commitments, leaving little room for a binding agreement to end enrichment within the narrow window. Trader positioning reflects these entrenched diplomatic gaps and the absence of recent breakthroughs sufficient to shift the timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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