**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily through Oman, have produced tentative frameworks for extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear stockpile, but core gaps persist on uranium enrichment.** Iran has signaled willingness to discuss pauses of 5–15 years, dilution or transfer of its highly enriched uranium, and limits tied to sanctions relief and security guarantees, while consistently rejecting permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantlement of facilities as incompatible with its NPT rights. U.S. positions under President Trump have emphasized zero or long-term suspension of enrichment alongside verifiable removal of stockpiles. As of mid-June 2026, statements from both sides indicate technical talks may advance but no binding commitment to end enrichment by June 30 has materialized, with Iranian officials expressing caution on timing and U.S. comments highlighting unresolved nuclear details. These entrenched red lines and the compressed timeline sustain trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$2,750,692 Vol.
$2,750,692 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$2,750,692 Vol.
$2,750,692 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily through Oman, have produced tentative frameworks for extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear stockpile, but core gaps persist on uranium enrichment.** Iran has signaled willingness to discuss pauses of 5–15 years, dilution or transfer of its highly enriched uranium, and limits tied to sanctions relief and security guarantees, while consistently rejecting permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantlement of facilities as incompatible with its NPT rights. U.S. positions under President Trump have emphasized zero or long-term suspension of enrichment alongside verifiable removal of stockpiles. As of mid-June 2026, statements from both sides indicate technical talks may advance but no binding commitment to end enrichment by June 30 has materialized, with Iranian officials expressing caution on timing and U.S. comments highlighting unresolved nuclear details. These entrenched red lines and the compressed timeline sustain trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$2,750,692Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily through Oman, have produced tentative frameworks for extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear stockpile, but core gaps persist on uranium enrichment.** Iran has signaled willingness to discuss pauses of 5–15 years, dilution or transfer of its highly enriched uranium, and limits tied to sanctions relief and security guarantees, while consistently rejecting permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantlement of facilities as incompatible with its NPT rights. U.S. positions under President Trump have emphasized zero or long-term suspension of enrichment alongside verifiable removal of stockpiles. As of mid-June 2026, statements from both sides indicate technical talks may advance but no binding commitment to end enrichment by June 30 has materialized, with Iranian officials expressing caution on timing and U.S. comments highlighting unresolved nuclear details. These entrenched red lines and the compressed timeline sustain trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,751,589Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily through Oman, have produced tentative frameworks for extending a ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and addressing Iran's nuclear stockpile, but core gaps persist on uranium enrichment.** Iran has signaled willingness to discuss pauses of 5–15 years, dilution or transfer of its highly enriched uranium, and limits tied to sanctions relief and security guarantees, while consistently rejecting permanent cessation of enrichment or dismantlement of facilities as incompatible with its NPT rights. U.S. positions under President Trump have emphasized zero or long-term suspension of enrichment alongside verifiable removal of stockpiles. As of mid-June 2026, statements from both sides indicate technical talks may advance but no binding commitment to end enrichment by June 30 has materialized, with Iranian officials expressing caution on timing and U.S. comments highlighting unresolved nuclear details. These entrenched red lines and the compressed timeline sustain trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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