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Federalize predictions & odds

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Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

18%

$15.0K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

2%

$3.4K Vol.

$570 Liq.

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

6%

$3.7K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

4%

$264K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

33

Ends in about 2 months

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

2%

$13.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

8

Ends in about 2 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

35%

$5.0K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.7K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

80%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$47.0K Vol.

$58.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

83%

No change

$3.7K Vol.

$61.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

120

Ends in about 2 months

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

10%

$22.3K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

61%

$1.7K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 30 days

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

3%

$25.1K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

15%

$3.1K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

14%

$722 Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

97%

↓ $2.80

$2.9K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

72%

1600+

$16.0K Vol.

$63.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 days

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

18%

Before 2027

$499K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

48

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Federalize.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Federalize that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump nationalize elections?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Federalize predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.