President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized peso stabilization through a flexible crawling exchange-rate band implemented in January 2026, reserve accumulation, and fiscal reforms backed by IMF support rather than immediate dollarization. Full adoption of the U.S. dollar as legal tender requires clearing the central bank’s balance sheet, building sufficient reserves, and legislative changes that remain incomplete with only weeks until the June 30, 2026 deadline. Milei has repeatedly described dollarization as a medium- or long-term objective, not a near-term target. Trader consensus at 99.3% “No” reflects this policy sequencing and the structural barriers to rapid implementation. A last-minute legislative breakthrough or major external shock could theoretically accelerate steps, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before the resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,599 Vol.
$21,599 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$21,599 Vol.
$21,599 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized peso stabilization through a flexible crawling exchange-rate band implemented in January 2026, reserve accumulation, and fiscal reforms backed by IMF support rather than immediate dollarization. Full adoption of the U.S. dollar as legal tender requires clearing the central bank’s balance sheet, building sufficient reserves, and legislative changes that remain incomplete with only weeks until the June 30, 2026 deadline. Milei has repeatedly described dollarization as a medium- or long-term objective, not a near-term target. Trader consensus at 99.3% “No” reflects this policy sequencing and the structural barriers to rapid implementation. A last-minute legislative breakthrough or major external shock could theoretically accelerate steps, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Market Opened: Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET
Volume
$21,599End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized peso stabilization through a flexible crawling exchange-rate band implemented in January 2026, reserve accumulation, and fiscal reforms backed by IMF support rather than immediate dollarization. Full adoption of the U.S. dollar as legal tender requires clearing the central bank’s balance sheet, building sufficient reserves, and legislative changes that remain incomplete with only weeks until the June 30, 2026 deadline. Milei has repeatedly described dollarization as a medium- or long-term objective, not a near-term target. Trader consensus at 99.3% “No” reflects this policy sequencing and the structural barriers to rapid implementation. A last-minute legislative breakthrough or major external shock could theoretically accelerate steps, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Volume
$21,599End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Javier Milei’s administration has prioritized peso stabilization through a flexible crawling exchange-rate band implemented in January 2026, reserve accumulation, and fiscal reforms backed by IMF support rather than immediate dollarization. Full adoption of the U.S. dollar as legal tender requires clearing the central bank’s balance sheet, building sufficient reserves, and legislative changes that remain incomplete with only weeks until the June 30, 2026 deadline. Milei has repeatedly described dollarization as a medium- or long-term objective, not a near-term target. Trader consensus at 99.3% “No” reflects this policy sequencing and the structural barriers to rapid implementation. A last-minute legislative breakthrough or major external shock could theoretically accelerate steps, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before the resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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