Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters market-implied odds around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (17.5%) edging 140-159 (17.3%) and 180-199 (15.2%) amid a sluggish start—only 18 posts through four days elapsed as of April 30 midday, averaging under 5 daily versus his recent 23/day pace from 158 posts the prior week. This tight race hinges on Elon's signature volatility: quiet stretches interrupted by high-volume bursts tied to viral SpaceX milestones like the recent Falcon success or X platform upgrades, fueling cultural buzz. Remaining four days leave room for event-driven surges from Tesla updates or political commentary to tip the scales, underscoring prediction markets' edge in capturing his unpredictable social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 17.5%
140-159 17.2%
180-199 15.4%
120-139 12.4%
$4,415,759 Vol.
$4,415,759 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
8%
120-139
12%
140-159
17%
160-179
18%
180-199
15%
200-219
12%
220-239
8%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 17.5%
140-159 17.2%
180-199 15.4%
120-139 12.4%
$4,415,759 Vol.
$4,415,759 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
8%
120-139
12%
140-159
17%
160-179
18%
180-199
15%
200-219
12%
220-239
8%
240-259
3%
260-279
1%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters market-implied odds around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from April 28 to May 5, with 160-179 (17.5%) edging 140-159 (17.3%) and 180-199 (15.2%) amid a sluggish start—only 18 posts through four days elapsed as of April 30 midday, averaging under 5 daily versus his recent 23/day pace from 158 posts the prior week. This tight race hinges on Elon's signature volatility: quiet stretches interrupted by high-volume bursts tied to viral SpaceX milestones like the recent Falcon success or X platform upgrades, fueling cultural buzz. Remaining four days leave room for event-driven surges from Tesla updates or political commentary to tip the scales, underscoring prediction markets' edge in capturing his unpredictable social media cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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