Parliament prorogued on April 29 after a contentious Prime Minister's Questions where Leader of the Opposition Kemi Badenoch pressed Keir Starmer on soaring welfare costs, internal Labour scandals including Peter Mandelson's appointment and aide job queries, and government record ahead of May 7 local elections projected as a Labour setback. The next session resumes May 13 with the State Opening, likely followed by PMQs the same week, as MPs return amid election fallout, cost-of-living relief measures enacted April 6, and ongoing Middle East tensions prompting Starmer's recent de-escalation statements. Traders weigh Starmer's prepared responses on NHS pressures, energy policy, and foreign affairs like Iran and Ukraine against Badenoch's attacks, with outcomes hinging on official transcripts for key phrases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMr. Speaker 10+ times
96%
Mr. Speaker 20+ times
83%
Mr. Speaker 30+ times
38%
Opposition / Opposite 5+ times
65%
Labor 3+ times
54%
Scotland
50%
NHS
85%
Trump
34%
Apologize / Apology
36%
Chancellor
53%
Deeply Concerning
41%
Political Stunt
42%
Epstein
10%
Poverty
49%
Shadow Secretary
8%
Northern Ireland
46%
Investment
61%
Ukraine
32%
Jewish
49%
Brexit
18%
Olly / Robinson
48%
Anti-Semitism / Anti-Semitic
39%
Oil / Gas
49%
Green / Greens
48%
Appalling
19%
U-turn
44%
Lizz / Truss
38%
Russia / Russian
25%
Honorable
70%
$218 Vol.
Mr. Speaker 10+ times
96%
Mr. Speaker 20+ times
83%
Mr. Speaker 30+ times
38%
Opposition / Opposite 5+ times
65%
Labor 3+ times
54%
Scotland
50%
NHS
85%
Trump
34%
Apologize / Apology
36%
Chancellor
53%
Deeply Concerning
41%
Political Stunt
42%
Epstein
10%
Poverty
49%
Shadow Secretary
8%
Northern Ireland
46%
Investment
61%
Ukraine
32%
Jewish
49%
Brexit
18%
Olly / Robinson
48%
Anti-Semitism / Anti-Semitic
39%
Oil / Gas
49%
Green / Greens
48%
Appalling
19%
U-turn
44%
Lizz / Truss
38%
Russia / Russian
25%
Honorable
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Parliament prorogued on April 29 after a contentious Prime Minister's Questions where Leader of the Opposition Kemi Badenoch pressed Keir Starmer on soaring welfare costs, internal Labour scandals including Peter Mandelson's appointment and aide job queries, and government record ahead of May 7 local elections projected as a Labour setback. The next session resumes May 13 with the State Opening, likely followed by PMQs the same week, as MPs return amid election fallout, cost-of-living relief measures enacted April 6, and ongoing Middle East tensions prompting Starmer's recent de-escalation statements. Traders weigh Starmer's prepared responses on NHS pressures, energy policy, and foreign affairs like Iran and Ukraine against Badenoch's attacks, with outcomes hinging on official transcripts for key phrases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions