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Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

icon for Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

14% chance
Polymarket
NEW
14% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announced their "Together" joint electoral slate three days ago, led by Bennett, to consolidate centrist and right-leaning opposition ahead of the 2026 Knesset elections and challenge Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition. Blue and White leader Benny Gantz congratulated the merger initially but criticized it sharply yesterday, arguing it prioritizes internal leadership disputes over a broad Zionist bloc to oust the government, while releasing a campaign ad calling for national unity under his vision. Polling shows Gantz's party hovering near the electoral threshold amid squeezed centrist space, with Bennett-Lapid inviting ex-ally Gadi Eisenkot to join; however, Gantz's opposition stance dims prospects of him merging by June 30, though pre-election dynamics could spur talks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.

If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$715
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announced their "Together" joint electoral slate three days ago, led by Bennett, to consolidate centrist and right-leaning opposition ahead of the 2026 Knesset elections and challenge Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition. Blue and White leader Benny Gantz congratulated the merger initially but criticized it sharply yesterday, arguing it prioritizes internal leadership disputes over a broad Zionist bloc to oust the government, while releasing a campaign ad calling for national unity under his vision. Polling shows Gantz's party hovering near the electoral threshold amid squeezed centrist space, with Bennett-Lapid inviting ex-ally Gadi Eisenkot to join; however, Gantz's opposition stance dims prospects of him merging by June 30, though pre-election dynamics could spur talks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party.
2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance.

If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$715
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions is met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1. The Blue and White–National Unity Party or the Together Party announce that the Blue and White–National Unity party will merge with, or contest the 2026 Israeli legislative election on a joint candidate list with, the Together party. 2. Benny Gantz or the Together party announce that Benny Gantz will run on the Together party’s candidate list for the 2026 Israeli legislative election. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, offers, invitations, or other non-definitive statements will not count. If the Together party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party or alliance will be considered the Together party for purposes of this market, provided both Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid are members of the resulting party or alliance. If the Blue and White–National Unity party undergoes a merger, name change, or other restructuring, the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list will be considered the Blue and White–National Unity party for purposes of this market, provided Benny Gantz is a member of the resulting party, alliance, or candidate list. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Blue and White–National Unity Party, the Together party, Benny Gantz, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 14% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 14¢, the market collectively assigns a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?" is 14% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.