US-Iran diplomatic negotiations remain stalled after mid-April Islamabad talks hosted by Pakistan, where US Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yielding no breakthroughs on the Strait of Hormuz blockade or ceasefire amid the ongoing war. Araghchi's April 27 meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow underscored Iran's pivot to regional alliances, dimming prospects for near-term US engagement despite Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait while postponing nuclear discussions. Traders monitor upcoming catalysts like India's May BRICS foreign ministers' summit—potentially featuring Iran—and possible Trump-Xi talks in Beijing around May 15, which could influence high-level diplomatic paths by May 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
May 31, 2026
Steve Witkoff
62%
Jared Kushner
60%
J.D. Vance
32%
Marco Rubio
24%
Donald Trump
17%
$0.00 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$0 Vol.
62%
Jared Kushner
$0 Vol.
60%
J.D. Vance
$0 Vol.
32%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
24%
Donald Trump
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic negotiations remain stalled after mid-April Islamabad talks hosted by Pakistan, where US Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yielding no breakthroughs on the Strait of Hormuz blockade or ceasefire amid the ongoing war. Araghchi's April 27 meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow underscored Iran's pivot to regional alliances, dimming prospects for near-term US engagement despite Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait while postponing nuclear discussions. Traders monitor upcoming catalysts like India's May BRICS foreign ministers' summit—potentially featuring Iran—and possible Trump-Xi talks in Beijing around May 15, which could influence high-level diplomatic paths by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic negotiations remain stalled after mid-April Islamabad talks hosted by Pakistan, where US Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yielding no breakthroughs on the Strait of Hormuz blockade or ceasefire amid the ongoing war. Araghchi's April 27 meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow underscored Iran's pivot to regional alliances, dimming prospects for near-term US engagement despite Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait while postponing nuclear discussions. Traders monitor upcoming catalysts like India's May BRICS foreign ministers' summit—potentially featuring Iran—and possible Trump-Xi talks in Beijing around May 15, which could influence high-level diplomatic paths by May 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic negotiations remain stalled after mid-April Islamabad talks hosted by Pakistan, where US Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, yielding no breakthroughs on the Strait of Hormuz blockade or ceasefire amid the ongoing war. Araghchi's April 27 meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow underscored Iran's pivot to regional alliances, dimming prospects for near-term US engagement despite Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait while postponing nuclear discussions. Traders monitor upcoming catalysts like India's May BRICS foreign ministers' summit—potentially featuring Iran—and possible Trump-Xi talks in Beijing around May 15, which could influence high-level diplomatic paths by May 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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