Recent Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls released April 24-28 show President Trump's approval rating plunging to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, pulling the Silver Bulletin average to 39% approve/58% disapprove as of April 30 amid surging gas prices over $4 per gallon and cost-of-living concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Disapproval of Trump's Iran handling stands at 60-66% per Pew and Ipsos surveys, with economic approval hitting a career low of 31% in CNN polling. Traders' 62% implied probability on "Down" for this week's Silver Bulletin change reflects this downward momentum from fresh polls, though congressional war powers debates scheduled soon could introduce volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
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May 9, 2026
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May 9, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls released April 24-28 show President Trump's approval rating plunging to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, pulling the Silver Bulletin average to 39% approve/58% disapprove as of April 30 amid surging gas prices over $4 per gallon and cost-of-living concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Disapproval of Trump's Iran handling stands at 60-66% per Pew and Ipsos surveys, with economic approval hitting a career low of 31% in CNN polling. Traders' 62% implied probability on "Down" for this week's Silver Bulletin change reflects this downward momentum from fresh polls, though congressional war powers debates scheduled soon could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$256End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls released April 24-28 show President Trump's approval rating plunging to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, pulling the Silver Bulletin average to 39% approve/58% disapprove as of April 30 amid surging gas prices over $4 per gallon and cost-of-living concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Disapproval of Trump's Iran handling stands at 60-66% per Pew and Ipsos surveys, with economic approval hitting a career low of 31% in CNN polling. Traders' 62% implied probability on "Down" for this week's Silver Bulletin change reflects this downward momentum from fresh polls, though congressional war powers debates scheduled soon could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 8, 2026, than on May 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 1, 2026, than on May 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$256End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls released April 24-28 show President Trump's approval rating plunging to 34-37%, the lowest of his second term, pulling the Silver Bulletin average to 39% approve/58% disapprove as of April 30 amid surging gas prices over $4 per gallon and cost-of-living concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Disapproval of Trump's Iran handling stands at 60-66% per Pew and Ipsos surveys, with economic approval hitting a career low of 31% in CNN polling. Traders' 62% implied probability on "Down" for this week's Silver Bulletin change reflects this downward momentum from fresh polls, though congressional war powers debates scheduled soon could introduce volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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