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icon for Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Politics·Trump

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

icon for Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Politics·Trump

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

4% chance
Polymarket

$263,256 Vol.

4% chance
Polymarket

$263,256 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell facing federal charges by June 30, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24 announcement closing its criminal probe into alleged cost overruns on Federal Reserve building renovations, with no evidence of wrongdoing found. A federal judge had quashed DOJ subpoenas in March, citing lack of basis, further undermining the inquiry initiated in January amid tensions over Fed independence. Powell's chair term ends mid-May, after which he plans to remain a board governor until 2028, but no new investigations or credible allegations have emerged. Realistic shifts would require fresh DOJ action or Inspector General findings uncovering criminal intent before the deadline, though procedural hurdles and recent closure make this improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$263,256
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell facing federal charges by June 30, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24 announcement closing its criminal probe into alleged cost overruns on Federal Reserve building renovations, with no evidence of wrongdoing found. A federal judge had quashed DOJ subpoenas in March, citing lack of basis, further undermining the inquiry initiated in January amid tensions over Fed independence. Powell's chair term ends mid-May, after which he plans to remain a board governor until 2028, but no new investigations or credible allegations have emerged. Realistic shifts would require fresh DOJ action or Inspector General findings uncovering criminal intent before the deadline, though procedural hurdles and recent closure make this improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$263,256
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" has generated $263.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.