Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20 °C for Paris on June 11, driven by a persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the cool early-June pattern of daytime highs mostly between 18–24 °C amid passing showers and thunderstorm activity across Île-de-France. Historical June averages near 22–24 °C provide context, but current model consensus favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official guidance from Météo-France in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 11?
19°C 41%
20°C 35%
18°C 16%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
16%
19°C
41%
20°C
35%
21°C
10%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 41%
20°C 35%
18°C 16%
21°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$55 Vol.
1%
16°C
$25 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
3%
18°C
$176 Vol.
16%
19°C
$69 Vol.
41%
20°C
$117 Vol.
35%
21°C
$86 Vol.
10%
22°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20 °C for Paris on June 11, driven by a persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the cool early-June pattern of daytime highs mostly between 18–24 °C amid passing showers and thunderstorm activity across Île-de-France. Historical June averages near 22–24 °C provide context, but current model consensus favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official guidance from Météo-France in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$560End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20 °C for Paris on June 11, driven by a persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the cool early-June pattern of daytime highs mostly between 18–24 °C amid passing showers and thunderstorm activity across Île-de-France. Historical June averages near 22–24 °C provide context, but current model consensus favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official guidance from Météo-France in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$560End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20 °C for Paris on June 11, driven by a persistent northerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the cool early-June pattern of daytime highs mostly between 18–24 °C amid passing showers and thunderstorm activity across Île-de-France. Historical June averages near 22–24 °C provide context, but current model consensus favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official guidance from Météo-France in the next 24–48 hours represent the key data points that could shift these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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