Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 11°C in Paris on June 10 under unsettled, cloudy conditions with a 70% chance of rain, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that threshold. Key variables include variable wind speeds, exact timing of any showers, and differences among ensemble runs in predicting the precise low, creating the observed spread across 10–12°C outcomes. Historical early-June climatology shows average lows of 12–15°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 9°C or above 13°C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of official measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on June 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 10?
11°C 32%
10°C 21%
12°C 17%
13°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C
21%
11°C
32%
12°C
17%
13°C
7%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 32%
10°C 21%
12°C 17%
13°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
7°C or below
$659 Vol.
1%
8°C
$27 Vol.
3%
9°C
$90 Vol.
5%
10°C
$204 Vol.
21%
11°C
$105 Vol.
32%
12°C
$80 Vol.
17%
13°C
$94 Vol.
7%
14°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$522 Vol.
1%
16°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$504 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 11°C in Paris on June 10 under unsettled, cloudy conditions with a 70% chance of rain, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that threshold. Key variables include variable wind speeds, exact timing of any showers, and differences among ensemble runs in predicting the precise low, creating the observed spread across 10–12°C outcomes. Historical early-June climatology shows average lows of 12–15°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 9°C or above 13°C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,031End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 11°C in Paris on June 10 under unsettled, cloudy conditions with a 70% chance of rain, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that threshold. Key variables include variable wind speeds, exact timing of any showers, and differences among ensemble runs in predicting the precise low, creating the observed spread across 10–12°C outcomes. Historical early-June climatology shows average lows of 12–15°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 9°C or above 13°C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,031End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a likely overnight minimum near 11°C in Paris on June 10 under unsettled, cloudy conditions with a 70% chance of rain, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market's leading 34.5% implied probability for that threshold. Key variables include variable wind speeds, exact timing of any showers, and differences among ensemble runs in predicting the precise low, creating the observed spread across 10–12°C outcomes. Historical early-June climatology shows average lows of 12–15°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 9°C or above 13°C. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of official measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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