Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London on June 12 centered in the 14–17°C range, with 15°C and 16°C carrying the highest implied probabilities at 27% each. This positioning reflects mild maritime air advection, limited radiative cooling under expected cloud cover, and reduced nocturnal temperature drops compared to the June climatological average low near 12°C. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 12?
Lowest temperature in London on June 12?
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 17%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
17%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 17%
14°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
11°C or below
$25 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$16 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
17%
18°C
$20 Vol.
2%
19°C
$20 Vol.
1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London on June 12 centered in the 14–17°C range, with 15°C and 16°C carrying the highest implied probabilities at 27% each. This positioning reflects mild maritime air advection, limited radiative cooling under expected cloud cover, and reduced nocturnal temperature drops compared to the June climatological average low near 12°C. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$101End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London on June 12 centered in the 14–17°C range, with 15°C and 16°C carrying the highest implied probabilities at 27% each. This positioning reflects mild maritime air advection, limited radiative cooling under expected cloud cover, and reduced nocturnal temperature drops compared to the June climatological average low near 12°C. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London on June 12 centered in the 14–17°C range, with 15°C and 16°C carrying the highest implied probabilities at 27% each. This positioning reflects mild maritime air advection, limited radiative cooling under expected cloud cover, and reduced nocturnal temperature drops compared to the June climatological average low near 12°C. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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