Traders see 28°C as the leading outcome for Wuhan's highest temperature on June 12 because current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a daytime peak in that range. Seasonal progression into early summer typically brings highs near 30–31°C, yet the onset of the plum rain period is introducing cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered precipitation that caps intensification. Official guidance indicates light winds and possible showers moderating conditions, consistent with historical patterns where mid-June transitions often yield 27–29°C readings rather than stronger heat. New model runs over the next 48 hours will refine this outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 12?
28°C 36%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
26°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
20%
28°C
36%
29°C
22%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
26°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
20%
28°C
36%
29°C
22%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 28°C as the leading outcome for Wuhan's highest temperature on June 12 because current ensemble forecasts from major models point to a daytime peak in that range. Seasonal progression into early summer typically brings highs near 30–31°C, yet the onset of the plum rain period is introducing cloud cover, higher humidity, and scattered precipitation that caps intensification. Official guidance indicates light winds and possible showers moderating conditions, consistent with historical patterns where mid-June transitions often yield 27–29°C readings rather than stronger heat. New model runs over the next 48 hours will refine this outlook ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions