Current numerical weather models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Wuhan on June 11, aligning with the market's leading outcome amid typical early-summer conditions. Daily highs have risen steadily into the low 30s°C as the plum rain season begins, with official forecasts from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com projecting 32°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical June averages of 30–31°C provide context, though day-to-day variability from cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader distribution across 30–34°C reflects model spread and limited lead time, with new observational data and updated runs expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 11?
32°C 30%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
30%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 30%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
30%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Wuhan on June 11, aligning with the market's leading outcome amid typical early-summer conditions. Daily highs have risen steadily into the low 30s°C as the plum rain season begins, with official forecasts from sources such as BBC Weather and timeanddate.com projecting 32°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical June averages of 30–31°C provide context, though day-to-day variability from cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader distribution across 30–34°C reflects model spread and limited lead time, with new observational data and updated runs expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions