Trader consensus clusters around 28–30°C for Chengdu’s June 12 maximum, aligning with the city’s early-summer climatology under the East Asian monsoon regime. Subtropical conditions typically produce daily highs of 28–31°C with moderate humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Current forecast guidance shows stable steering patterns and no strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping probabilities spread across the central outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
29°C 28%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
21%
29°C
28%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
24°C or below
$498 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$68 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$83 Vol.
21%
29°C
$93 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$35 Vol.
14%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$15 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$95 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 28–30°C for Chengdu’s June 12 maximum, aligning with the city’s early-summer climatology under the East Asian monsoon regime. Subtropical conditions typically produce daily highs of 28–31°C with moderate humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Current forecast guidance shows stable steering patterns and no strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping probabilities spread across the central outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$774End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 28–30°C for Chengdu’s June 12 maximum, aligning with the city’s early-summer climatology under the East Asian monsoon regime. Subtropical conditions typically produce daily highs of 28–31°C with moderate humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Current forecast guidance shows stable steering patterns and no strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping probabilities spread across the central outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$774End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 28–30°C for Chengdu’s June 12 maximum, aligning with the city’s early-summer climatology under the East Asian monsoon regime. Subtropical conditions typically produce daily highs of 28–31°C with moderate humidity and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heating, while occasional clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Current forecast guidance shows stable steering patterns and no strong warm or cool anomalies, keeping probabilities spread across the central outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions