Latest numerical weather prediction runs indicate a narrow range of possible daily maxima for Qingdao on June 12, centered near 29–31 °C, driven by variable southerly flow and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Model consensus shows light onshore winds limiting daytime heating while any reduction in cloud cover or slight warm advection from inland Shandong could push readings to 32 °C or higher; conversely, increased marine stratus or stronger sea breezes favor capping at 29–30 °C. Historical early-June climatology places typical highs around 23–25 °C, so the current spread reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation reaching the surface ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration model cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 12?
31°C 26%
30°C 22%
32°C or higher 19%
29°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
17%
30°C
22%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
21%
31°C 26%
30°C 22%
32°C or higher 19%
29°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
17%
30°C
22%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs indicate a narrow range of possible daily maxima for Qingdao on June 12, centered near 29–31 °C, driven by variable southerly flow and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Model consensus shows light onshore winds limiting daytime heating while any reduction in cloud cover or slight warm advection from inland Shandong could push readings to 32 °C or higher; conversely, increased marine stratus or stronger sea breezes favor capping at 29–30 °C. Historical early-June climatology places typical highs around 23–25 °C, so the current spread reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation reaching the surface ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration model cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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