Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 33%
31°C or higher 31%
29°C 17%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C
33%
31°C or higher
31%
30°C 33%
31°C or higher 31%
29°C 17%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$130 Vol.
1%
25°C
$36 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$118 Vol.
33%
31°C or higher
$118 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$856End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$856End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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