Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on June 10 will likely reach 26–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and typical early-summer insolation, with limited moisture and light winds supporting modest warming. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, as no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are forecast to alter the baseline pattern established by recent stable conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices centers on 28–30°C, consistent with the upper range of current deterministic runs and historical June variability around 22°C normals, while cooler or extreme outcomes remain improbable without rapid model shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 10?
29°C 45%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
45%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
24°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$524 Vol.
1%
27°C
$841 Vol.
5%
28°C
$419 Vol.
27%
29°C
$204 Vol.
45%
30°C
$162 Vol.
21%
31°C
$400 Vol.
4%
32°C
$768 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on June 10 will likely reach 26–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and typical early-summer insolation, with limited moisture and light winds supporting modest warming. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, as no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are forecast to alter the baseline pattern established by recent stable conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices centers on 28–30°C, consistent with the upper range of current deterministic runs and historical June variability around 22°C normals, while cooler or extreme outcomes remain improbable without rapid model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$5,900End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on June 10 will likely reach 26–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and typical early-summer insolation, with limited moisture and light winds supporting modest warming. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, as no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are forecast to alter the baseline pattern established by recent stable conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices centers on 28–30°C, consistent with the upper range of current deterministic runs and historical June variability around 22°C normals, while cooler or extreme outcomes remain improbable without rapid model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,900End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's daily maximum on June 10 will likely reach 26–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and typical early-summer insolation, with limited moisture and light winds supporting modest warming. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, as no strong frontal systems or anomalous advection are forecast to alter the baseline pattern established by recent stable conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices centers on 28–30°C, consistent with the upper range of current deterministic runs and historical June variability around 22°C normals, while cooler or extreme outcomes remain improbable without rapid model shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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