Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a frontal passage over southern Germany will keep maximum temperatures in Munich near 14–15°C on June 10, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and light winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s near-even pricing between 14°C and 15°C, while the modest probability on 16°C reflects residual model spread in the timing of any partial clearing. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 22°C, underscoring the anomalous cool advection expected tomorrow. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the German Weather Service will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 10?
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
17%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
18%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 31%
14°C 30%
16°C 18%
13°C 17%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
17%
14°C
30%
15°C
31%
16°C
18%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, indicate a frontal passage over southern Germany will keep maximum temperatures in Munich near 14–15°C on June 10, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and light winds limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s near-even pricing between 14°C and 15°C, while the modest probability on 16°C reflects residual model spread in the timing of any partial clearing. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 22°C, underscoring the anomalous cool advection expected tomorrow. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the German Weather Service will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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