Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers, including ensembles run by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre, indicate Moscow will likely see a daily maximum near 28–30 °C on June 11 under a ridge of high pressure that favors mostly sunny conditions and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some members peaking at 27 °C and others reaching 31 °C depending on the timing of any afternoon convective clouds or slight variations in boundary-layer mixing. These forecasts align with the closely bunched market-implied odds around 28–30 °C and reflect the typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average 22–24 °C but can exceed 28 °C when anticyclonic flow suppresses cloud cover. Updated model runs issued within the next 24 hours will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 11?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 11?
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 12%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
21%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 12%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
24°C or below
$106 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$9 Vol.
11%
28°C
$50 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$17 Vol.
21%
31°C
$105 Vol.
6%
32°C
$40 Vol.
4%
33°C
$33 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$322 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers, including ensembles run by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre, indicate Moscow will likely see a daily maximum near 28–30 °C on June 11 under a ridge of high pressure that favors mostly sunny conditions and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some members peaking at 27 °C and others reaching 31 °C depending on the timing of any afternoon convective clouds or slight variations in boundary-layer mixing. These forecasts align with the closely bunched market-implied odds around 28–30 °C and reflect the typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average 22–24 °C but can exceed 28 °C when anticyclonic flow suppresses cloud cover. Updated model runs issued within the next 24 hours will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$713End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers, including ensembles run by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre, indicate Moscow will likely see a daily maximum near 28–30 °C on June 11 under a ridge of high pressure that favors mostly sunny conditions and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some members peaking at 27 °C and others reaching 31 °C depending on the timing of any afternoon convective clouds or slight variations in boundary-layer mixing. These forecasts align with the closely bunched market-implied odds around 28–30 °C and reflect the typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average 22–24 °C but can exceed 28 °C when anticyclonic flow suppresses cloud cover. Updated model runs issued within the next 24 hours will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$713End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from major centers, including ensembles run by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre, indicate Moscow will likely see a daily maximum near 28–30 °C on June 11 under a ridge of high pressure that favors mostly sunny conditions and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some members peaking at 27 °C and others reaching 31 °C depending on the timing of any afternoon convective clouds or slight variations in boundary-layer mixing. These forecasts align with the closely bunched market-implied odds around 28–30 °C and reflect the typical early-June climatology for the region, where daytime highs average 22–24 °C but can exceed 28 °C when anticyclonic flow suppresses cloud cover. Updated model runs issued within the next 24 hours will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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