Recent forecast guidance from European models points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Milan on June 10 as the most probable outcome, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that cap daytime heating in the Po Valley. Early June climatology shows average highs near 25°C, and current conditions lack the strong high-pressure subsidence or warm advection needed for readings above 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the risk of localized cooling from convection against the baseline seasonal warming trend, with limited upside potential reflected in low probabilities for 27°C or higher. Updated model runs and any overnight clearing will be the key variables ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 10?
24°C 37%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 11.8%
$10,320 Vol.
$10,320 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
37%
25°C
26%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
25°C 26%
23°C 18%
26°C 11.8%
$10,320 Vol.
$10,320 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
37%
25°C
26%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Milan on June 10 as the most probable outcome, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that cap daytime heating in the Po Valley. Early June climatology shows average highs near 25°C, and current conditions lack the strong high-pressure subsidence or warm advection needed for readings above 26°C. Traders appear to weigh the risk of localized cooling from convection against the baseline seasonal warming trend, with limited upside potential reflected in low probabilities for 27°C or higher. Updated model runs and any overnight clearing will be the key variables ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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