Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mild winter day for Wellington on June 12, with daytime maxima centered near 14–15 °C amid moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait. This range reflects typical early-winter conditions where limited solar insolation, combined with variable cloud cover and wind mixing, restricts diurnal warming to near the June climatological average of 12–14 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 14 °C and 15 °C because small differences in frontal timing or northerly versus southerly wind shifts can add or subtract 1–2 °C; clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the higher end, while increased cloud or an earlier southerly change would cap readings nearer 13 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicate near-average temperatures overall, leaving resolution sensitive to the next model runs and any rapid synoptic evolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 12?
14°C 42%
15°C 33%
13°C 16%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
42%
15°C
33%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
15°C 33%
13°C 16%
16°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
8°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$112 Vol.
2%
13°C
$129 Vol.
16%
14°C
$90 Vol.
42%
15°C
$71 Vol.
33%
16°C
$279 Vol.
11%
17°C
$53 Vol.
2%
18°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mild winter day for Wellington on June 12, with daytime maxima centered near 14–15 °C amid moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait. This range reflects typical early-winter conditions where limited solar insolation, combined with variable cloud cover and wind mixing, restricts diurnal warming to near the June climatological average of 12–14 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 14 °C and 15 °C because small differences in frontal timing or northerly versus southerly wind shifts can add or subtract 1–2 °C; clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the higher end, while increased cloud or an earlier southerly change would cap readings nearer 13 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicate near-average temperatures overall, leaving resolution sensitive to the next model runs and any rapid synoptic evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,008End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mild winter day for Wellington on June 12, with daytime maxima centered near 14–15 °C amid moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait. This range reflects typical early-winter conditions where limited solar insolation, combined with variable cloud cover and wind mixing, restricts diurnal warming to near the June climatological average of 12–14 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 14 °C and 15 °C because small differences in frontal timing or northerly versus southerly wind shifts can add or subtract 1–2 °C; clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the higher end, while increased cloud or an earlier southerly change would cap readings nearer 13 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicate near-average temperatures overall, leaving resolution sensitive to the next model runs and any rapid synoptic evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,008End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from MetService and international models points to a mild winter day for Wellington on June 12, with daytime maxima centered near 14–15 °C amid moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait. This range reflects typical early-winter conditions where limited solar insolation, combined with variable cloud cover and wind mixing, restricts diurnal warming to near the June climatological average of 12–14 °C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 14 °C and 15 °C because small differences in frontal timing or northerly versus southerly wind shifts can add or subtract 1–2 °C; clearer skies or lighter winds would favor the higher end, while increased cloud or an earlier southerly change would cap readings nearer 13 °C. Seasonal outlooks indicate near-average temperatures overall, leaving resolution sensitive to the next model runs and any rapid synoptic evolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions