Trader consensus in this market reflects substantial uncertainty in official temperature forecasts for Karachi on June 11, with the strongest implied probability concentrated around 40°C amid a broad distribution of outcomes. Key variables include evolving atmospheric conditions such as pre-monsoon heat buildup, humidity levels, and wind patterns that influence maximum daily readings, alongside divergences among global and regional forecast models. Historical June baselines for the region typically show highs near 35–38°C, but recent model runs highlight potential for intensification or moderation depending on upper-level steering and local land-sea interactions. Upcoming forecast updates from meteorological agencies will likely drive further shifts in market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 11?
40°C 25%
41°C 25%
42°C 15%
39°C 10%
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
10%
40°C
25%
41°C
25%
42°C
15%
43°C
6%
44°C or higher
7%
40°C 25%
41°C 25%
42°C 15%
39°C 10%
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C
10%
40°C
25%
41°C
25%
42°C
15%
43°C
6%
44°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market reflects substantial uncertainty in official temperature forecasts for Karachi on June 11, with the strongest implied probability concentrated around 40°C amid a broad distribution of outcomes. Key variables include evolving atmospheric conditions such as pre-monsoon heat buildup, humidity levels, and wind patterns that influence maximum daily readings, alongside divergences among global and regional forecast models. Historical June baselines for the region typically show highs near 35–38°C, but recent model runs highlight potential for intensification or moderation depending on upper-level steering and local land-sea interactions. Upcoming forecast updates from meteorological agencies will likely drive further shifts in market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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