Current ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Chongqing on June 12, driven by expected widespread cloud cover and light rainfall that limit daytime heating. This setup contrasts with the city’s typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under clearer, more humid subtropical conditions. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of monsoon moisture influx, which could either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 25–26°C. Model spreads remain wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, with updated runs and observational data releases in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 12?
24°C 31%
23°C 23%
22°C 15%
25°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
20°C or below
8%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
23%
24°C
31%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 31%
23°C 23%
22°C 15%
25°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
20°C or below
$30 Vol.
8%
21°C
$37 Vol.
4%
22°C
$137 Vol.
15%
23°C
$34 Vol.
23%
24°C
$50 Vol.
31%
25°C
$12 Vol.
15%
26°C
$17 Vol.
13%
27°C
$248 Vol.
6%
28°C
$197 Vol.
2%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Chongqing on June 12, driven by expected widespread cloud cover and light rainfall that limit daytime heating. This setup contrasts with the city’s typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under clearer, more humid subtropical conditions. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of monsoon moisture influx, which could either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 25–26°C. Model spreads remain wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, with updated runs and observational data releases in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$758End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Chongqing on June 12, driven by expected widespread cloud cover and light rainfall that limit daytime heating. This setup contrasts with the city’s typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under clearer, more humid subtropical conditions. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of monsoon moisture influx, which could either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 25–26°C. Model spreads remain wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, with updated runs and observational data releases in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$758End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Chongqing on June 12, driven by expected widespread cloud cover and light rainfall that limit daytime heating. This setup contrasts with the city’s typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C highs under clearer, more humid subtropical conditions. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of monsoon moisture influx, which could either enhance cooling through evaporative effects or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 25–26°C. Model spreads remain wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, with updated runs and observational data releases in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions