Current forecasts and climatological averages position the most likely daily high temperature in Chengdu near 29°C on June 11, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C due to typical early-summer variability. Subtropical high-pressure influences and increasing monsoon moisture moderate daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, while local factors such as cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind patterns from regional pressure gradients can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical June data show mean highs of 28–30°C with occasional excursions driven by short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Low probabilities for 33°C or higher align with the absence of extreme heat signals this early in the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
29°C 21%
28°C 20%
30°C 18%
27°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
26°C or below
13%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
8%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 21%
28°C 20%
30°C 18%
27°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
26°C or below
$90 Vol.
13%
27°C
$17 Vol.
14%
28°C
$160 Vol.
20%
29°C
$64 Vol.
26%
30°C
$7 Vol.
18%
31°C
$11 Vol.
8%
32°C
$308 Vol.
7%
33°C
$59 Vol.
1%
34°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological averages position the most likely daily high temperature in Chengdu near 29°C on June 11, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C due to typical early-summer variability. Subtropical high-pressure influences and increasing monsoon moisture moderate daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, while local factors such as cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind patterns from regional pressure gradients can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical June data show mean highs of 28–30°C with occasional excursions driven by short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Low probabilities for 33°C or higher align with the absence of extreme heat signals this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$1,470End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological averages position the most likely daily high temperature in Chengdu near 29°C on June 11, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C due to typical early-summer variability. Subtropical high-pressure influences and increasing monsoon moisture moderate daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, while local factors such as cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind patterns from regional pressure gradients can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical June data show mean highs of 28–30°C with occasional excursions driven by short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Low probabilities for 33°C or higher align with the absence of extreme heat signals this early in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,470End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and climatological averages position the most likely daily high temperature in Chengdu near 29°C on June 11, with market-implied odds reflecting tight clustering around 28–30°C due to typical early-summer variability. Subtropical high-pressure influences and increasing monsoon moisture moderate daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, while local factors such as cloud cover, humidity levels, and wind patterns from regional pressure gradients can shift maxima by 1–2°C. Historical June data show mean highs of 28–30°C with occasional excursions driven by short-term model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Low probabilities for 33°C or higher align with the absence of extreme heat signals this early in the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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