Latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF implies an overnight low near 16°C for Shanghai on May 8, amid a persistent cool air mass and light southerly winds following recent below-average readings—May 4 at 14°C and May 5 at 16°C under fine conditions. Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability, driven by model ensemble spread of 14–20°C and key variables including nocturnal cloud cover (potentially trapping heat to boost lows 2–3°C), urban heat island effects, and any frontal intrusions. China Meteorological Administration updates and new 00Z model runs on May 6–7 could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official station data. Historical early-May lows average 15–16°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 8 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 8 de mayo?
15°C 24%
17°C 19%
18°C 17%
12°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
11°C o menos
13%
12°C
16%
13°C
18%
14°C
24%
15°C
32%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
17%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
1%
15°C 24%
17°C 19%
18°C 17%
12°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
11°C o menos
$10 Vol.
13%
12°C
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$8 Vol.
18%
14°C
$8 Vol.
24%
15°C
$10 Vol.
32%
16°C
$8 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$10 Vol.
1%
21°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF implies an overnight low near 16°C for Shanghai on May 8, amid a persistent cool air mass and light southerly winds following recent below-average readings—May 4 at 14°C and May 5 at 16°C under fine conditions. Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability, driven by model ensemble spread of 14–20°C and key variables including nocturnal cloud cover (potentially trapping heat to boost lows 2–3°C), urban heat island effects, and any frontal intrusions. China Meteorological Administration updates and new 00Z model runs on May 6–7 could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official station data. Historical early-May lows average 15–16°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$62Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF implies an overnight low near 16°C for Shanghai on May 8, amid a persistent cool air mass and light southerly winds following recent below-average readings—May 4 at 14°C and May 5 at 16°C under fine conditions. Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability, driven by model ensemble spread of 14–20°C and key variables including nocturnal cloud cover (potentially trapping heat to boost lows 2–3°C), urban heat island effects, and any frontal intrusions. China Meteorological Administration updates and new 00Z model runs on May 6–7 could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official station data. Historical early-May lows average 15–16°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from global models like GFS and ECMWF implies an overnight low near 16°C for Shanghai on May 8, amid a persistent cool air mass and light southerly winds following recent below-average readings—May 4 at 14°C and May 5 at 16°C under fine conditions. Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty, with no outcome exceeding 25% implied probability, driven by model ensemble spread of 14–20°C and key variables including nocturnal cloud cover (potentially trapping heat to boost lows 2–3°C), urban heat island effects, and any frontal intrusions. China Meteorological Administration updates and new 00Z model runs on May 6–7 could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official station data. Historical early-May lows average 15–16°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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