Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Cape Town's highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 8, with implied probabilities evenly split among 18–21°C outcomes near 20% each, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) projecting a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies following an intense cut-off low that brought cooler air, rain, and winds through May 5–7. This system suppressed early-May climatological highs of 21–22°C seen earlier in the week, with lingering low-level clouds and southerly winds differentiating precise peaks—more clearing favors 20–21°C, persistent overcast 17–18°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread around 19°C, though new SAWS updates and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 8 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 8 de mayo?
19°C 34%
20°C 23%
21°C 19%
18°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
34%
20°C
23%
21°C
19%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 23%
21°C 19%
18°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
14°C o menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$45 Vol.
34%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$5 Vol.
7%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C o más
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Cape Town's highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 8, with implied probabilities evenly split among 18–21°C outcomes near 20% each, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) projecting a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies following an intense cut-off low that brought cooler air, rain, and winds through May 5–7. This system suppressed early-May climatological highs of 21–22°C seen earlier in the week, with lingering low-level clouds and southerly winds differentiating precise peaks—more clearing favors 20–21°C, persistent overcast 17–18°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread around 19°C, though new SAWS updates and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Cape Town's highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 8, with implied probabilities evenly split among 18–21°C outcomes near 20% each, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) projecting a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies following an intense cut-off low that brought cooler air, rain, and winds through May 5–7. This system suppressed early-May climatological highs of 21–22°C seen earlier in the week, with lingering low-level clouds and southerly winds differentiating precise peaks—more clearing favors 20–21°C, persistent overcast 17–18°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread around 19°C, though new SAWS updates and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Cape Town's highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 8, with implied probabilities evenly split among 18–21°C outcomes near 20% each, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) projecting a daytime high of 19°C under partly cloudy skies following an intense cut-off low that brought cooler air, rain, and winds through May 5–7. This system suppressed early-May climatological highs of 21–22°C seen earlier in the week, with lingering low-level clouds and southerly winds differentiating precise peaks—more clearing favors 20–21°C, persistent overcast 17–18°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a narrow spread around 19°C, though new SAWS updates and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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