Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Miami's lowest temperature on May 6, with implied probabilities evenly split at 41% across 69-87°F bins amid ensemble forecast spreads from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting lows near 73-77°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights persistent sea breeze influences and scattered evening showers through May 4-5, which could trap heat via cloud cover or allow radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, differentiating cooler outcomes (69-73°F) from warmer ones (76°F+). High dewpoints around 72°F from warm Gulf Stream waters set a humidity floor limiting deeper cooling, while light southeast winds under 10 mph add variability. Watch 12Z model runs on May 5 for refined boundary layer forecasts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 6 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 6 de mayo?
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 11%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
69°F o menos
3%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
<1%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 11%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
69°F o menos
$20 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$598 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$415 Vol.
21%
74-75°F
$34 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$69 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$239 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$51 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$153 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Miami's lowest temperature on May 6, with implied probabilities evenly split at 41% across 69-87°F bins amid ensemble forecast spreads from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting lows near 73-77°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights persistent sea breeze influences and scattered evening showers through May 4-5, which could trap heat via cloud cover or allow radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, differentiating cooler outcomes (69-73°F) from warmer ones (76°F+). High dewpoints around 72°F from warm Gulf Stream waters set a humidity floor limiting deeper cooling, while light southeast winds under 10 mph add variability. Watch 12Z model runs on May 5 for refined boundary layer forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,755Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Miami's lowest temperature on May 6, with implied probabilities evenly split at 41% across 69-87°F bins amid ensemble forecast spreads from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting lows near 73-77°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights persistent sea breeze influences and scattered evening showers through May 4-5, which could trap heat via cloud cover or allow radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, differentiating cooler outcomes (69-73°F) from warmer ones (76°F+). High dewpoints around 72°F from warm Gulf Stream waters set a humidity floor limiting deeper cooling, while light southeast winds under 10 mph add variability. Watch 12Z model runs on May 5 for refined boundary layer forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,755Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Miami's lowest temperature on May 6, with implied probabilities evenly split at 41% across 69-87°F bins amid ensemble forecast spreads from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models projecting lows near 73-77°F. Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights persistent sea breeze influences and scattered evening showers through May 4-5, which could trap heat via cloud cover or allow radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, differentiating cooler outcomes (69-73°F) from warmer ones (76°F+). High dewpoints around 72°F from warm Gulf Stream waters set a humidity floor limiting deeper cooling, while light southeast winds under 10 mph add variability. Watch 12Z model runs on May 5 for refined boundary layer forecasts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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