Latest forecast guidance from major weather services, including The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, projects Mexico City's high temperature on May 8 at around 28°C (82°F), fueling the 55% market-implied odds for 27°C or higher as traders weigh persistent above-normal warmth against emerging risks. This positioning stems from early May 2026 observations exceeding 30°C during a fading heatwave, with the month's mean temperature already +4.7°C above the 19.6°C climatological norm, driven by a stubborn upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear morning skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. However, 60% odds of afternoon scattered thunderstorms introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks and boosting support for 25–26°C outcomes (33% combined). Daily Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates will provide critical refinements before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 8 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 8 de mayo?
27°C o más 84%
25°C 12%
26°C 10%
24°C 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
10%
27°C o más
84%
27°C o más 84%
25°C 12%
26°C 10%
24°C 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
17°C o menos
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$165 Vol.
1%
25°C
$105 Vol.
12%
26°C
$20 Vol.
10%
27°C o más
$111 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from major weather services, including The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, projects Mexico City's high temperature on May 8 at around 28°C (82°F), fueling the 55% market-implied odds for 27°C or higher as traders weigh persistent above-normal warmth against emerging risks. This positioning stems from early May 2026 observations exceeding 30°C during a fading heatwave, with the month's mean temperature already +4.7°C above the 19.6°C climatological norm, driven by a stubborn upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear morning skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. However, 60% odds of afternoon scattered thunderstorms introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks and boosting support for 25–26°C outcomes (33% combined). Daily Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates will provide critical refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$1,523Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from major weather services, including The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, projects Mexico City's high temperature on May 8 at around 28°C (82°F), fueling the 55% market-implied odds for 27°C or higher as traders weigh persistent above-normal warmth against emerging risks. This positioning stems from early May 2026 observations exceeding 30°C during a fading heatwave, with the month's mean temperature already +4.7°C above the 19.6°C climatological norm, driven by a stubborn upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear morning skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. However, 60% odds of afternoon scattered thunderstorms introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks and boosting support for 25–26°C outcomes (33% combined). Daily Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates will provide critical refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,523Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from major weather services, including The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, projects Mexico City's high temperature on May 8 at around 28°C (82°F), fueling the 55% market-implied odds for 27°C or higher as traders weigh persistent above-normal warmth against emerging risks. This positioning stems from early May 2026 observations exceeding 30°C during a fading heatwave, with the month's mean temperature already +4.7°C above the 19.6°C climatological norm, driven by a stubborn upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear morning skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. However, 60% odds of afternoon scattered thunderstorms introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks and boosting support for 25–26°C outcomes (33% combined). Daily Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates will provide critical refinements before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes