Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 6, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C on May 8 amid a moderating northeast monsoon bringing mainly cloudy skies, showers, and isolated squally thunderstorms from an approaching trough of low pressure over southern China. This drives trader consensus toward mid-range outcomes around 24°C, yet even 50.5% implied probabilities for extremes—18°C or below versus 28°C or higher—highlight deep uncertainty in ensemble models, with current observations of 23°C mornings under 85% humidity and easterly winds cooler than May climatological lows of 24–25°C. Cloud cover may suppress nocturnal radiative cooling for higher mins, while potential cold air advection could plunge readings; watch HKO updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 8 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 8 de mayo?
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 21%
28°C o más 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
18°C o menos
19%
19°C
7%
20°C
14%
21°C
17%
22°C
19%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
17%
28°C o más
21%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 21%
28°C o más 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
18°C o menos
$23 Vol.
19%
19°C
$28 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C o más
$23 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 6, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C on May 8 amid a moderating northeast monsoon bringing mainly cloudy skies, showers, and isolated squally thunderstorms from an approaching trough of low pressure over southern China. This drives trader consensus toward mid-range outcomes around 24°C, yet even 50.5% implied probabilities for extremes—18°C or below versus 28°C or higher—highlight deep uncertainty in ensemble models, with current observations of 23°C mornings under 85% humidity and easterly winds cooler than May climatological lows of 24–25°C. Cloud cover may suppress nocturnal radiative cooling for higher mins, while potential cold air advection could plunge readings; watch HKO updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$70Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 6, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C on May 8 amid a moderating northeast monsoon bringing mainly cloudy skies, showers, and isolated squally thunderstorms from an approaching trough of low pressure over southern China. This drives trader consensus toward mid-range outcomes around 24°C, yet even 50.5% implied probabilities for extremes—18°C or below versus 28°C or higher—highlight deep uncertainty in ensemble models, with current observations of 23°C mornings under 85% humidity and easterly winds cooler than May climatological lows of 24–25°C. Cloud cover may suppress nocturnal radiative cooling for higher mins, while potential cold air advection could plunge readings; watch HKO updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$70Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated May 6, projects a minimum temperature of 24°C on May 8 amid a moderating northeast monsoon bringing mainly cloudy skies, showers, and isolated squally thunderstorms from an approaching trough of low pressure over southern China. This drives trader consensus toward mid-range outcomes around 24°C, yet even 50.5% implied probabilities for extremes—18°C or below versus 28°C or higher—highlight deep uncertainty in ensemble models, with current observations of 23°C mornings under 85% humidity and easterly winds cooler than May climatological lows of 24–25°C. Cloud cover may suppress nocturnal radiative cooling for higher mins, while potential cold air advection could plunge readings; watch HKO updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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