Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 8?
20°C 38%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
26%
20°C
38%
21°C
19%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
3%
20°C 38%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
13°C or below
$644 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$580 Vol.
1%
16°C
$106 Vol.
2%
17°C
$80 Vol.
5%
18°C
$42 Vol.
15%
19°C
$90 Vol.
26%
20°C
$127 Vol.
38%
21°C
$59 Vol.
19%
22°C
$30 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$141 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$2,806Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,806Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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