Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 8°C overnight low in Paris on May 8 at 26% implied probability, aligning with long-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, which project minimum temperatures around 8°C amid typical early May climatology where lows average 8–10°C and rarely drop below 4°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects short-term forecast divergence just 48 hours out, driven by key variables including nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds limiting cold air advection, potential cloud cover suppressing lows above 10°C, or a passing front pushing toward 5–7°C. Urban heat island effects in Paris may buffer extremes; watch Météo-France and NOAA updates over the next 24 hours for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations at key stations like Roissy or Orly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 8 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 8 de mayo?
8°C 23%
9°C 21%
6°C 16%
7°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
3°C o menos
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
4%
6°C
16%
7°C
21%
8°C
23%
9°C
21%
10°C
13%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C o más
1%
8°C 23%
9°C 21%
6°C 16%
7°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
3°C o menos
$40 Vol.
1%
4°C
$80 Vol.
1%
5°C
$51 Vol.
4%
6°C
$17 Vol.
16%
7°C
$20 Vol.
21%
8°C
$28 Vol.
23%
9°C
$28 Vol.
21%
10°C
$125 Vol.
13%
11°C
$159 Vol.
3%
12°C
$232 Vol.
3%
13°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 8°C overnight low in Paris on May 8 at 26% implied probability, aligning with long-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, which project minimum temperatures around 8°C amid typical early May climatology where lows average 8–10°C and rarely drop below 4°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects short-term forecast divergence just 48 hours out, driven by key variables including nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds limiting cold air advection, potential cloud cover suppressing lows above 10°C, or a passing front pushing toward 5–7°C. Urban heat island effects in Paris may buffer extremes; watch Météo-France and NOAA updates over the next 24 hours for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations at key stations like Roissy or Orly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$790Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 8°C overnight low in Paris on May 8 at 26% implied probability, aligning with long-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, which project minimum temperatures around 8°C amid typical early May climatology where lows average 8–10°C and rarely drop below 4°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects short-term forecast divergence just 48 hours out, driven by key variables including nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds limiting cold air advection, potential cloud cover suppressing lows above 10°C, or a passing front pushing toward 5–7°C. Urban heat island effects in Paris may buffer extremes; watch Météo-France and NOAA updates over the next 24 hours for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations at key stations like Roissy or Orly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$790Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 8°C overnight low in Paris on May 8 at 26% implied probability, aligning with long-range ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, which project minimum temperatures around 8°C amid typical early May climatology where lows average 8–10°C and rarely drop below 4°C. High uncertainty across outcomes reflects short-term forecast divergence just 48 hours out, driven by key variables including nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, light winds limiting cold air advection, potential cloud cover suppressing lows above 10°C, or a passing front pushing toward 5–7°C. Urban heat island effects in Paris may buffer extremes; watch Météo-France and NOAA updates over the next 24 hours for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations at key stations like Roissy or Orly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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