The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated May 5 at 05:00, projects a high of 23°C for Tokyo on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% late day), closely matching the seasonal normal of 22.8°C amid a stable high-pressure system following today's clear conditions and 23°C high. Polymarket traders, however, price 21°C highest at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C at 25%, reflecting caution from ensemble model divergences showing potential overcast skies (per supplementary sources like timeanddate.com) that could cap peak heating, alongside historical May variability where cloud timing often tempers forecasted maxima. Resolution hinges on whole-degree observations at Tokyo Haneda Airport via Wunderground; watch afternoon JMA updates for shifts in cloud cover or frontal influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 6?
21°C 39%
22°C 29%
20°C 24%
23°C 10.2%
NUEVO
$24,885 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,885 Vol.
6 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
29%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
2%
21°C 39%
22°C 29%
20°C 24%
23°C 10.2%
NUEVO
$24,885 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,885 Vol.
6 may 2026
14°C or below
$5,876 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,171 Vol.
1%
16°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,538 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,763 Vol.
2%
20°C
$2,286 Vol.
24%
21°C
$1,329 Vol.
39%
22°C
$869 Vol.
29%
23°C
$1,174 Vol.
10%
24°C or higher
$1,728 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated May 5 at 05:00, projects a high of 23°C for Tokyo on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% late day), closely matching the seasonal normal of 22.8°C amid a stable high-pressure system following today's clear conditions and 23°C high. Polymarket traders, however, price 21°C highest at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C at 25%, reflecting caution from ensemble model divergences showing potential overcast skies (per supplementary sources like timeanddate.com) that could cap peak heating, alongside historical May variability where cloud timing often tempers forecasted maxima. Resolution hinges on whole-degree observations at Tokyo Haneda Airport via Wunderground; watch afternoon JMA updates for shifts in cloud cover or frontal influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volumen
$24,885Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated May 5 at 05:00, projects a high of 23°C for Tokyo on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% late day), closely matching the seasonal normal of 22.8°C amid a stable high-pressure system following today's clear conditions and 23°C high. Polymarket traders, however, price 21°C highest at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C at 25%, reflecting caution from ensemble model divergences showing potential overcast skies (per supplementary sources like timeanddate.com) that could cap peak heating, alongside historical May variability where cloud timing often tempers forecasted maxima. Resolution hinges on whole-degree observations at Tokyo Haneda Airport via Wunderground; watch afternoon JMA updates for shifts in cloud cover or frontal influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,885Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated May 5 at 05:00, projects a high of 23°C for Tokyo on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk (10% late day), closely matching the seasonal normal of 22.8°C amid a stable high-pressure system following today's clear conditions and 23°C high. Polymarket traders, however, price 21°C highest at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C at 25%, reflecting caution from ensemble model divergences showing potential overcast skies (per supplementary sources like timeanddate.com) that could cap peak heating, alongside historical May variability where cloud timing often tempers forecasted maxima. Resolution hinges on whole-degree observations at Tokyo Haneda Airport via Wunderground; watch afternoon JMA updates for shifts in cloud cover or frontal influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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