Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly at 39.5% between unusually warm overnight lows of 22°C or higher and cold snaps at 12°C or below for May 7 in Shanghai, reflecting deep uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from models like ECMWF and GFS amid typical early-May climatology of 16–18°C lows. No major developments have shifted conditions in the past week, per China Meteorological Administration monitoring, leaving traders focused on differentiating factors: northerly cold air advection and clear skies enabling radiative cooling to 12°C versus southerly warm flows, low clouds, or urban heat island effects trapping heat for 22°C+ minima. Historical data shows extremes rare below 12°C or above 22°C; updated model runs expected today could tip the balance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 7 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 7 de mayo?
18°C 19%
14°C 8%
15°C 5%
13°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
5%
16°C
48%
17°C
35%
18°C
19%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
18°C 19%
14°C 8%
15°C 5%
13°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
12°C o menos
$228 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$75 Vol.
1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
8%
15°C
$212 Vol.
5%
16°C
$148 Vol.
48%
17°C
$55 Vol.
35%
18°C
$9 Vol.
19%
19°C
$346 Vol.
1%
20°C
$514 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$3,177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly at 39.5% between unusually warm overnight lows of 22°C or higher and cold snaps at 12°C or below for May 7 in Shanghai, reflecting deep uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from models like ECMWF and GFS amid typical early-May climatology of 16–18°C lows. No major developments have shifted conditions in the past week, per China Meteorological Administration monitoring, leaving traders focused on differentiating factors: northerly cold air advection and clear skies enabling radiative cooling to 12°C versus southerly warm flows, low clouds, or urban heat island effects trapping heat for 22°C+ minima. Historical data shows extremes rare below 12°C or above 22°C; updated model runs expected today could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,158Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly at 39.5% between unusually warm overnight lows of 22°C or higher and cold snaps at 12°C or below for May 7 in Shanghai, reflecting deep uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from models like ECMWF and GFS amid typical early-May climatology of 16–18°C lows. No major developments have shifted conditions in the past week, per China Meteorological Administration monitoring, leaving traders focused on differentiating factors: northerly cold air advection and clear skies enabling radiative cooling to 12°C versus southerly warm flows, low clouds, or urban heat island effects trapping heat for 22°C+ minima. Historical data shows extremes rare below 12°C or above 22°C; updated model runs expected today could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,158Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly at 39.5% between unusually warm overnight lows of 22°C or higher and cold snaps at 12°C or below for May 7 in Shanghai, reflecting deep uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles from models like ECMWF and GFS amid typical early-May climatology of 16–18°C lows. No major developments have shifted conditions in the past week, per China Meteorological Administration monitoring, leaving traders focused on differentiating factors: northerly cold air advection and clear skies enabling radiative cooling to 12°C versus southerly warm flows, low clouds, or urban heat island effects trapping heat for 22°C+ minima. Historical data shows extremes rare below 12°C or above 22°C; updated model runs expected today could tip the balance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes