Latest National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 8 clustering tightly around 71-75°F, driving the near-even trader split with 71°F or below holding a slim 50.5% implied probability edge over adjacent bins at 47%. Light southerly winds near 5 mph and partial cloud cover temper radiative cooling, but subtle differences in forecast moisture profiles—GFS drier for enhanced overnight chill versus ECMWF's slightly higher humidity—create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Climatological May 8 averages hover near 74°F, yet persistent upper-ridge dominance has supported recent lows 2-3°F below normal. Watch 12Z model updates and evening soundings for shifts ahead of resolution at official Miami International Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 8 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 8 de mayo?
74-75°F 36%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
71°F o menos
9%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87 °F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
1%
74-75°F 36%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
71°F o menos
$27 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$18 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$11 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$65 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$28 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$22 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$28 Vol.
1%
86-87 °F
$23 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$538 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 8 clustering tightly around 71-75°F, driving the near-even trader split with 71°F or below holding a slim 50.5% implied probability edge over adjacent bins at 47%. Light southerly winds near 5 mph and partial cloud cover temper radiative cooling, but subtle differences in forecast moisture profiles—GFS drier for enhanced overnight chill versus ECMWF's slightly higher humidity—create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Climatological May 8 averages hover near 74°F, yet persistent upper-ridge dominance has supported recent lows 2-3°F below normal. Watch 12Z model updates and evening soundings for shifts ahead of resolution at official Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$765Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 8 clustering tightly around 71-75°F, driving the near-even trader split with 71°F or below holding a slim 50.5% implied probability edge over adjacent bins at 47%. Light southerly winds near 5 mph and partial cloud cover temper radiative cooling, but subtle differences in forecast moisture profiles—GFS drier for enhanced overnight chill versus ECMWF's slightly higher humidity—create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Climatological May 8 averages hover near 74°F, yet persistent upper-ridge dominance has supported recent lows 2-3°F below normal. Watch 12Z model updates and evening soundings for shifts ahead of resolution at official Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$765Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's lowest temperature on May 8 clustering tightly around 71-75°F, driving the near-even trader split with 71°F or below holding a slim 50.5% implied probability edge over adjacent bins at 47%. Light southerly winds near 5 mph and partial cloud cover temper radiative cooling, but subtle differences in forecast moisture profiles—GFS drier for enhanced overnight chill versus ECMWF's slightly higher humidity—create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating outcomes. Climatological May 8 averages hover near 74°F, yet persistent upper-ridge dominance has supported recent lows 2-3°F below normal. Watch 12Z model updates and evening soundings for shifts ahead of resolution at official Miami International Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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