MetService's latest forecast, issued midday May 6, projects an 18°C daytime high for Wellington on May 8 under northwesterly winds strengthening to gales ahead of an active trough arriving from the Tasman Sea in the afternoon, bringing evening rain—warmer than the typical May average of 14–16°C at Wellington Airport due to northerly flow advection. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in peak temperature, with equal implied probabilities across 16–20°C stemming from variables like cloud cover timing, foehn-like warming from northwest gales, and exact trough onset, which could suppress maxima if rain arrives early or boost them with sustained winds. Watch tomorrow's forecast update and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 8 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 8 de mayo?
19°C 34%
18°C 33%
17°C 13%
20°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
33%
19°C
34%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
2%
19°C 34%
18°C 33%
17°C 13%
20°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
12°C o menos
$434 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$486 Vol.
1%
15°C
$238 Vol.
1%
16°C
$431 Vol.
3%
17°C
$122 Vol.
13%
18°C
$36 Vol.
33%
19°C
$74 Vol.
34%
20°C
$27 Vol.
9%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C o más
$261 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued midday May 6, projects an 18°C daytime high for Wellington on May 8 under northwesterly winds strengthening to gales ahead of an active trough arriving from the Tasman Sea in the afternoon, bringing evening rain—warmer than the typical May average of 14–16°C at Wellington Airport due to northerly flow advection. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in peak temperature, with equal implied probabilities across 16–20°C stemming from variables like cloud cover timing, foehn-like warming from northwest gales, and exact trough onset, which could suppress maxima if rain arrives early or boost them with sustained winds. Watch tomorrow's forecast update and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$2,435Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued midday May 6, projects an 18°C daytime high for Wellington on May 8 under northwesterly winds strengthening to gales ahead of an active trough arriving from the Tasman Sea in the afternoon, bringing evening rain—warmer than the typical May average of 14–16°C at Wellington Airport due to northerly flow advection. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in peak temperature, with equal implied probabilities across 16–20°C stemming from variables like cloud cover timing, foehn-like warming from northwest gales, and exact trough onset, which could suppress maxima if rain arrives early or boost them with sustained winds. Watch tomorrow's forecast update and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,435Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued midday May 6, projects an 18°C daytime high for Wellington on May 8 under northwesterly winds strengthening to gales ahead of an active trough arriving from the Tasman Sea in the afternoon, bringing evening rain—warmer than the typical May average of 14–16°C at Wellington Airport due to northerly flow advection. Trader consensus reflects model uncertainty in peak temperature, with equal implied probabilities across 16–20°C stemming from variables like cloud cover timing, foehn-like warming from northwest gales, and exact trough onset, which could suppress maxima if rain arrives early or boost them with sustained winds. Watch tomorrow's forecast update and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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